Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe5dde262f494ad38834f8e79c33b6233f32a7b6c051f89292d9635ee9ac2d73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Team Spirit, Aurora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $909,502
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,043,669
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $909,502 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 515 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Spirit | 54c | 111,643$60,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,095.09 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Aurora | 46c | 96,605$44,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,166.69 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…a70ebacked Aurora | 45c | 30,664$13,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,865.11 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Aurora | 54c | 25,750$13,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,894.55 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Spirit | 38c | 16,423$6,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,237.06 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Aurora | 63c | 15,753$9,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,885.16 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Team Spirit | 54c | 12,221$6,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,654.88 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Aurora | 51c | 12,111$6,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,934.37 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Team Spirit | 20c | 12,016$2,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,458.67 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Spirit | 43c | 10,977$4,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,751.11 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Team Spirit | 14c | 10,236$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.33 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f3d3backed Aurora | 71c | 10,218$7,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,993.88 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Team Spirit | 47c | 10,194$4,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,759.08 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Spirit | 46c | 9,907$4,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,531.85 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Spirit | 49c | 9,510$4,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,660 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc04e…75d9backed Team Spirit | 54c | 8,997$4,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,858.21 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Aurora | 43c | 7,302$3,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,191.98 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Team Spirit | 52c | 6,954$3,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,608.71 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Aurora | 47c | 6,844$3,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,617.77 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7a…6c9abacked Team Spirit | 3c | 6,309$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.97 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Team Spirit | 38c | 6,193$2,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,361.68 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Aurora | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,179.99 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Aurora | 65c | 5,966$3,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,108.13 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Spirit | 44c | 5,775$2,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,558.57 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Team Spirit | 28c | 5,496$1,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.44 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Team Spirit | 52c | 5,354$2,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,788.45 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Aurora | 47c | 5,318$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,818.15 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Team Spirit | 49c | 5,238$2,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,561.86 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Team Spirit | 47c | 5,190$2,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,425.3 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Spirit | 46c | 5,005$2,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,302.82 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd525…1815backed Aurora | 48c | 4,788$2,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,498.66 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed Aurora | 50c | 4,689$2,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.79 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Aurora | 55c | 4,563$2,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,061.59 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora | 66c | 4,515$2,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548.33 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Spirit | 36c | 4,179$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,517.27 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Aurora | 80c | 4,163$3,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.51 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Team Spirit | 54c | 4,150$2,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240.98 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Spirit | 46c | 4,062$1,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,856.69 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad4d…dd89backed Team Spirit | 21c | 3,792$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.6 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Team Spirit | 19c | 3,694$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708 | 96 | 30.2%29 W · 67 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Team Spirit | 56c | 3,641$2,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,035.94 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…f6ffbacked Team Spirit | 54c | 3,500$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,889.99 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Aurora | 55c | 3,428$1,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.29 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Team Spirit | 51c | 3,309$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.23 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Aurora | 52c | 3,297$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580.24 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora | 62c | 3,234$2,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.83 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf054…eae7backed Aurora | 53c | 3,200$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.95 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…ed24backed Aurora | 49c | 3,082$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581.99 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Aurora | 53c | 3,045$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.45 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Aurora | 58c | 3,040$1,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.2 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Aurora | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…1f5cbacked Team Spirit | 53c | 3,000$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.99 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf93…0d84backed Aurora | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.95 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x468c…d7cabacked Aurora | 72c | 2,985$2,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.03 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Aurora | 66c | 2,765$1,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.86 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Aurora | 63c | 2,730$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.23 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Aurora | 50c | 2,725$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.53 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9442…d97bbacked Team Spirit | 53c | 2,700$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +171.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Spirit | 51c | 2,684$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.32 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Spirit | 38c | 2,597$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.45 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Spirit | 11c | 2,520$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.62 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc1…7f52backed Team Spirit | 7c | 2,293$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.28 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Team Spirit | 2c | 2,250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 35 | 0%0 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Team Spirit | 49c | 2,236$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.41 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Team Spirit | 47c | 2,234$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.97 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked Team Spirit | 45c | 2,150$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.22 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Aurora | 50c | 2,055$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.54 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Aurora | 61c | 2,053$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.62 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked Team Spirit | 49c | 2,048$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1b…e3b3backed Team Spirit | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Aurora | 67c | 2,036$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.04 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Team Spirit | 50c | 1,992$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.07 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…8024backed Aurora | 47c | 1,990$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.81 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Spirit | 49c | 1,990$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.05 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Aurora | 44c | 1,864$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.75 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Aurora | 67c | 1,840$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.49 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Aurora | 46c | 1,817$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.44 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aurora | 44c | 1,810$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.35 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Team Spirit | 51c | 1,766$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Team Spirit | 48c | 1,746$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.46 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x078f…796cbacked Aurora | 50c | 1,686$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.23 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.6wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Team Spirit | 6c | 1,660$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.03 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora | 65c | 1,611$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.15 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b5…e607backed Aurora | 45c | 1,510$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.83 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…b4fabacked Team Spirit | 38c | 1,502$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | +14.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9e…7928backed Team Spirit | 7c | 1,500$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Team Spirit | 43c | 1,460$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.7 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Aurora | 56c | 1,451$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.79 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed Team Spirit | 31c | 1,448$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.24 | 148 | 25%37 W · 111 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Team Spirit | 26c | 1,432$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.81 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…05a0backed Team Spirit | 15c | 1,431$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.51 | 92 | 10.9%10 W · 82 L | -18.0wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Aurora | 63c | 1,360$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.63 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Aurora | 50c | 1,344$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.05 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Spirit | 52c | 1,339$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.64 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Team Spirit | 1c | 1,330$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 122 | 17.2%21 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Team Spirit | 1c | 1,330$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 104 | 0%0 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Aurora | 55c | 1,325$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.19 | 253 | 59.3%150 W · 103 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…d2e3backed Aurora | 54c | 1,316$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8a…7d07backed Team Spirit | 7c | 1,285$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c1dabacked Aurora | 73c | 1,279$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.09 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague PlayoffsAurora won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 WinnerAurora won
- Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)Aurora won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.