Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfb5fdd5510d917564177aee2550be4ac5bdec6363a8db46f535e800960efbd1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Team Spirit, Aurora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $518,398
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $581,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $518,398 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 373 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Spirit | 42c | 123,605$51,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,300 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Aurora | 45c | 57,276$25,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,351.79 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47b3…039cbacked Team Spirit | 55c | 30,000$16,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,499.99 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Aurora | 71c | 27,000$19,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,830 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x078f…796cbacked Aurora | 51c | 25,461$12,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,539.62 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.6wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Team Spirit | 55c | 21,259$11,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,692.33 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed Aurora | 50c | 12,977$6,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,458.5 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Aurora | 70c | 12,882$9,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,814.49 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1501…a163backed Team Spirit | 36c | 9,768$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc04e…75d9backed Team Spirit | 57c | 8,078$4,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,604.26 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Team Spirit | 31c | 8,065$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 96 | 30.2%29 W · 67 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…5473backed Aurora | 71c | 7,500$5,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,170 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Aurora | 47c | 7,447$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,946.81 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Aurora | 46c | 7,345$3,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,956.09 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Spirit | 20c | 6,364$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.59 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed Team Spirit | 27c | 6,280$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.45 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Spirit | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,179.96 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Team Spirit | 53c | 5,945$3,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150.62 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Team Spirit | 57c | 5,711$3,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,277.3 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…1f5cbacked Aurora | 70c | 5,700$3,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed Aurora | 69c | 5,557$3,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722.76 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…273dbacked Team Spirit | 55c | 5,500$3,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,020.77 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Spirit | 25c | 5,360$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.42 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Aurora | 71c | 5,000$3,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9442…d97bbacked Aurora | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +171.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1b…e3b3backed Team Spirit | 29c | 4,403$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.72 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Aurora | 57c | 4,390$2,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,901.09 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Team Spirit | 21c | 4,068$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.6 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Aurora | 50c | 4,007$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,006.92 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Team Spirit | 55c | 3,876$2,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,131.43 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Aurora | 45c | 3,703$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,047.54 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora | 74c | 3,439$2,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.41 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfa…7491backed Aurora | 43c | 3,419$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6e…fa6fbacked Aurora | 47c | 3,404$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,804.26 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Spirit | 36c | 2,971$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.46 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…5bd2backed Aurora | 70c | 2,521$1,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.41 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Spirit | 18c | 2,342$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.28 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd57b…c48fbacked Team Spirit | 56c | 2,323$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x936b…7c51backed Aurora | 44c | 2,290$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Aurora | 71c | 2,288$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.38 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…5eeabacked Team Spirit | 23c | 2,200$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.34 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Aurora | 44c | 2,186$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.95 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Team Spirit | 38c | 2,182$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.61 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb465…0d8dbacked Aurora | 44c | 2,074$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f2…89a3backed Aurora | 44c | 2,006$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.2 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Spirit | 29c | 2,000$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.86 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Aurora | 45c | 2,000$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.99 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeab…d961backed Team Spirit | 35c | 2,000$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.98 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1956…750ebacked Team Spirit | 29c | 1,956$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.66 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x468c…d7cabacked Team Spirit | 5c | 1,952$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora | 45c | 1,935$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.25 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…735bbacked Team Spirit | 50c | 1,798$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.39 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Team Spirit | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora | 72c | 1,729$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.64 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Team Spirit | 55c | 1,690$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.72 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa272…797abacked Team Spirit | 39c | 1,616$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…8024backed Aurora | 71c | 1,577$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.29 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Aurora | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.99 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Aurora | 42c | 1,429$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.57 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Team Spirit | 56c | 1,411$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.98 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Aurora | 72c | 1,406$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.91 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Aurora | 77c | 1,394$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.99 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…ed24backed Aurora | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.89 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Aurora | 79c | 1,309$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.64 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Aurora | 71c | 1,300$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.91 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef00…de7fbacked Team Spirit | 35c | 1,273$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.61 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Spirit | 16c | 1,262$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.02 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Aurora | 44c | 1,218$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.29 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Aurora | 72c | 1,191$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.58 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…72babacked Team Spirit | 59c | 1,186$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da2…8c2bbacked Aurora | 68c | 1,139$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.83 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e7…bbf0backed Team Spirit | 54c | 1,134$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Team Spirit | 38c | 1,026$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393 | 137 | 64.2%88 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…13e5backed Team Spirit | 53c | 1,020$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.6 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Team Spirit | 15c | 1,007$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.47 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea6…180dbacked Aurora | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Spirit | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Aurora | 42c | 999.99$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.99 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Aurora | 62c | 996.75$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.75 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Aurora | 70c | 994.94$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.74 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Team Spirit | 7c | 993.15$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.76 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Aurora | 46c | 981$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.74 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked Team Spirit | 44c | 971.19$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.98 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a0…111abacked Team Spirit | 55c | 925.34$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.45 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…f5c4backed Team Spirit | 54c | 920$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.8 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Team Spirit | 56c | 909.61$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.38 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Spirit | 19c | 900$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.46 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d6…7334backed Team Spirit | 55c | 892.08$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Aurora | 45c | 804.6$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.53 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Team Spirit | 25c | 772.38$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.21 | 225 | 43.6%98 W · 127 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa377…2b3bbacked Team Spirit | 3c | 752.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Aurora | 44c | 750$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked Team Spirit | 7c | 750$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…ef07backed Team Spirit | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Team Spirit | 5c | 737.2$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 405 | 34.6%140 W · 265 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb7…3cccbacked Team Spirit | 14c | 734.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x210d…a04bbacked Aurora | 72c | 696.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.5 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Team Spirit | 23c | 681.16$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.03 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -14.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…07bfbacked Team Spirit | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Team Spirit | 31c | 664.52$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 WinnerAurora won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerAurora won
- Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)Aurora won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.