TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0ea6…180d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
231
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Lol at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT5429.6%16 W · 38 L-7.7wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-40.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Lol — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,230Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,230
LoL: Dignitas vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$989Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$989.25
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,745Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$1,755
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,475Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$2,025
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
LoL: G2 NORD vs BIG (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,140.28
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$578Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$578.41
LoL: Barça eSports vs Team Heretics Academy (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonbacked Barça eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.22
LoL: G2 Esports vs AG.AL (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked AG.AL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,610Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$1,890
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,890Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,890
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs MIBR.LOS (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked MIBR.LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.3
LoL: G2 Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$945Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$945
LoL: LUA Gaming vs FALKE Esports (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonbacked LUA Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$150.91
LoL: VfB eSports vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Eintracht Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,410Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,409.67
LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,124.7
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,620Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$4,380
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$946Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$945.66
LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$308
LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$528Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$528
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$470.96
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$551Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$826.8
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Game Handicap: TES (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,808Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,808.37
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,586Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,586.2
LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$410.04
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$352.56
Mikel Merino: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$197.04
Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Julián Álvarez: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$210
England vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$6,075Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,075
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,350Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$3,150
France vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,007Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$1,338.28
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,354Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$1,057.76
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,845Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$2,655
Switzerland to score first vs. Argentina?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,840Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$1,160
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,080
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$924Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$924
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,700Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$1,300
Mexico vs. England: England O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,379Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,378.53
Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,181Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,181.16
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,117.5
France to win the second half?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$338.79
Canada vs. Morocco: Canada O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,505Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,505
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 6.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$738Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$832.1
Australia vs. Egypt: Australia O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,850Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,850
Spain to win the second half?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,713Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$1,240.26
Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,205.36
Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$621Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$621
United States to win the second half?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,411Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$1,818.84
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.75
Map Handicap: G1 (-1.5) vs NEW VISION (+1.5)backed GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,708Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,707.67
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,340Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$2,160
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,890Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,890
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,395Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,395
Counter-Strike: NIP vs K27 (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,134
Counter-Strike: 9z vs PARIVISION (BO5) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$548Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$547.63
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs PARIVISION (+3.5)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$996Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$995.67
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,560Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$2,440
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs BIG (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,520
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs GenOne (BO3) - RES Showdown Europe Playoffsbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$648Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$264.48
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs paiN Academy (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Group Abacked Fake do Biru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.5
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs ENCE (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group Cbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$415.45
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,299Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,298.5
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs 9INE (BO3) - DraculaN Group Abacked Sashi Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$230
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stagebacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$222.12
Counter-Strike: illwill vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stagebacked illwill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,925Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,925
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,320
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,960Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$2,040
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,080Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$920
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,075Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$1,425
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,250
Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.8
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,276Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$924
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT2330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-35.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Valorant — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,740Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,740
Map Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)backed Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,305Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$3,195
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alphabacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$3,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$900
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,475Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,475
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,565Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$1,935
Valorant: TEC Esports vs All Gamers - Map 1 Winnerbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$104.51
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,610Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,610
Valorant: Sentinels vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$4,451Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+71.9%+$3,199.5
Map Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5)backed Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$400.64
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$197.84
Valorant: M80 vs SaD Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffsbacked SaD Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$416Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$416.1
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked Trace Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$594Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$593.64
Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffsbacked NRG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,435Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,435
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,260
Valorant: Team Heretics vs All Gamers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$840
Valorant: YFT Esports vs Evil Geniuses Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked Evil Geniuses Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.49
Valorant: KRÜ Blaze vs BESTIA (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Regular Seasonbacked KRÜ Blaze · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,448Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,448
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.81
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$850Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$850
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,225Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,275
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,344Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,344
All 23 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)backed Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$321.73
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$945Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$945
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$429.1
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nigma Galaxy (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,740Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,740
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$385.62
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$128.82
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$382.36
Game Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Team Bald (+1.5)backed Team Bald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$107.4
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Team Bald (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,470Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$980
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs MODUS (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,666Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$784
Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - The International South America Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Amaru Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$265
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,078Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,122
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$760
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$740Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$740
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$1,592.51
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$540
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$136.93
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs GamerLegion (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+150%+$300
Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked ex-HEROIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
All 20 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)backed Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,760Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$1,240
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$520
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$720
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$980
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$960
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100
Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$622Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$621.92
Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,070Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,070
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlinsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankeesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$460
Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,166Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,166
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,230Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$1,770
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,710Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,710
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankeesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,170Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$1,830
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$540
All 17 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on August 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+145.7%+$59.3
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on August 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.82
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.35
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+124.7%+$55.5
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.78
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+131.3%+$57.07
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.02
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$14.24
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$35.49
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on August 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Diane Parrybacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$792Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$792
Roland Garros WTA: Madison Keys vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,276Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,276
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil Teichmannbacked Jil Teichmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$275
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,364Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$836
Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$1,620
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Yibing Wubacked Yibing Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Roland Garros ATP: Titouan Droguet vs Jakub Mensikbacked Titouan Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.78
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Emma Navarro vs Ann Libacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,400
Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15
Will Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+203%+$67
Will Laura Gillen be the Democratic nominee for NY-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
Will Ryan Busse be the Democratic nominee for MT-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
All 8 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+139.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$69
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$18
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+37%+$10.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$42.09
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.