TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: M80 vs SaD Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
M80of M80, SaD Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,960
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,916

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,960 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf60…a6f5backed M8070c9,000$6,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,705.4652155.5%289 W · 232 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2276…efd0backed M8069c5,695$3,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,788.043177.4%24 W · 7 L+5.0wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+27.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdb82…f6babacked SaD Esports32c3,192$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.441741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked SaD Esports28c2,925$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.828743.2%124 W · 163 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed SaD Esports30c2,200$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66041734.8%145 W · 272 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed SaD Esports30c2,060$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.111,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e38…2a58backed M8070c1,788$1,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.984273.8%31 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed M8080c1,542$1,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.4118457.1%105 W · 79 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ea6…180dbacked SaD Esports30c1,387$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.12330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-35.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked SaD Esports34c1,284$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.0268949.5%341 W · 348 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed SaD Esports31c1,198$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.0144342%186 W · 257 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed SaD Esports30c1,046$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.8619040%76 W · 114 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x65c1…2988backed SaD Esports29c1,034$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.8125554.9%140 W · 115 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x08e7…4f63backed M8062c839.86$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.154156.1%23 W · 18 L+6.2wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+39.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed SaD Esports26c723$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.3646326.6%123 W · 340 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed SaD Esports30c712.18$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.6515038%57 W · 93 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69f2…a80dbacked M8069c600$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1866668.2%45 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4980…5709backed SaD Esports12c600$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.532245.7%147 W · 175 L+52.2wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+40.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xa390…c7d9backed SaD Esports20c592.95$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.067920.3%16 W · 63 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked SaD Esports29c513.44$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.4384838.2%324 W · 524 L-50.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed SaD Esports30c500.1$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.0325453.5%136 W · 118 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe84a…02febacked SaD Esports30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed M8062c486.99$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.5481134.9%283 W · 528 L-60.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed SaD Esports30c442.33$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.78158%47 W · 34 L+8.0wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+27.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked M8065c422$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.074057.5%23 W · 17 L+6.7wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+43.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed SaD Esports39c388.94$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.91,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked SaD Esports12c388$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5820138.3%77 W · 124 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked SaD Esports33c360.53$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.381,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked SaD Esports30c355.24$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.7113043.8%57 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x257e…ca61backed SaD Esports18c355.09$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4122344.4%99 W · 124 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked SaD Esports20c316.64$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.7123644.5%105 W · 131 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked SaD Esports32c314$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.482850%14 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed SaD Esports19c309.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.849838.8%38 W · 60 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed M8061c301.98$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.966055%33 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked SaD Esports29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8734443.3%149 W · 195 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked SaD Esports35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10517653.4%94 W · 82 L+9.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x634a…dddfbacked M8069c287.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.981580%12 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+25.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked SaD Esports19c217.8$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0370043.7%306 W · 394 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed M8068c209.3$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.9577929.5%230 W · 549 L-72.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed SaD Esports18c208.83$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.433838.5%130 W · 208 L-21.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked SaD Esports12c197.65$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0221136.5%77 W · 134 L-15.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-38.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked SaD Esports32c188.39$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.288334.9%29 W · 54 L-9.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed M8073c164.89$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2165347.3%309 W · 344 L-18.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked SaD Esports20c154.95$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.631,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked SaD Esports32c150$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.588243.9%36 W · 46 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked SaD Esports13c146.81$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.230835.4%109 W · 199 L-23.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-40.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3c81…8f47backed M8069c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.931258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda33…cd9abacked M8068c144.92$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.371963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed SaD Esports14c144.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.716144.7%72 W · 89 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3824…bccdbacked SaD Esports29c144$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.76714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-75.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa319…bbfbbacked SaD Esports30c142.63$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed SaD Esports29c141$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8923055.7%128 W · 102 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked SaD Esports22c138.64$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9715232.9%50 W · 102 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed SaD Esports13c121.47$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8226932.3%87 W · 182 L-25.7wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-42.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked SaD Esports19c120$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3842140.4%170 W · 251 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked SaD Esports16c115.87$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6757151%291 W · 280 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42dd…5d2bbacked SaD Esports29c102.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.654537.8%17 W · 28 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed SaD Esports18c102.24$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3174642.8%319 W · 427 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fd6…d4a0backed SaD Esports32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324146.3%19 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc869…bc8dbacked SaD Esports39c97.13$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3812261.5%75 W · 47 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3116…b30dbacked SaD Esports29c95.79$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.782450%12 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked SaD Esports30c90$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.689040%36 W · 54 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1967…30b5backed SaD Esports30c88.38$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5113446.3%62 W · 72 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked SaD Esports19c78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.277744%342 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9755…ab85backed SaD Esports32c75.53$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.172040%8 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed SaD Esports36c75$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2766650.8%338 W · 328 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b7…7491backed SaD Esports29c74$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4613848.6%67 W · 71 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed SaD Esports35c73.38$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5123745.1%107 W · 130 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9bb6…5154backed M8069c72.68$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.683464.7%22 W · 12 L+5.7wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+44%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xad2c…4eecbacked M8067c72.45$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7120553.2%109 W · 96 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93d7…c7a6backed SaD Esports31c69.57$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.575836.2%21 W · 37 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-29.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5430…fbbbbacked M8069c68.12$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1211754.7%64 W · 53 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe77…8fe4backed SaD Esports29c65.93$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.123246.9%15 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c8c…2d81backed SaD Esports30c64.95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7614345.5%65 W · 78 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked SaD Esports31c62.7$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.441963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked SaD Esports39c61.79$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.115535.5%55 W · 100 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2944…cf36backed SaD Esports17c60$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.25743.9%25 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed M8069c57.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.978454.8%46 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed M8079c55.52$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5393049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked M8066c54.9$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6786747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e8c…500abacked SaD Esports38c52.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.872347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked SaD Esports31c48.01$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8816451.8%85 W · 79 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6096…e6d9backed M8068c43.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.911968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc18c…63dabacked M8071c42.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.255259.6%31 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7160…cce2backed M8069c42.25$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f67…866ebacked M8069c42.25$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+51.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked M8060c42$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7950944.6%227 W · 282 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x007b…1fd2backed M8071c41.66$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.082556%14 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27b6…e8babacked M8071c41.66$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.08771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x252f…2561backed M8063c39.68$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed M8077c37.87$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8749255.3%272 W · 220 L+23.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8048…5c85backed M8071c34.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.07683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+44%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed SaD Esports34c34.11$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.595648.2%27 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked M8067c34$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.391,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37a8…8b4dbacked M8062c32.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.252259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked M8069c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.31,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58d2…0de7backed M8069c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.991090%9 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick66cpaid+35.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked M8062c28.97$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.914348.8%21 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked M8062c24.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.376955.1%38 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x351a…f836backed M8066c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.85569.1%38 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.