Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: M80 vs SaD Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9fd6da66481370af1114fbe8e438097ba556b40a452a9733e49b0cf6a05293c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- M80of M80, SaD Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,320
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,054
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,320 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3515…ae25backed SaD Esports | 42c | 3,994$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked M80 | 58c | 2,225$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.82 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed SaD Esports | 47c | 826.33$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.41 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked M80 | 58c | 668.6$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.81 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2b…9e83backed M80 | 69c | 540.36$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.77 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed SaD Esports | 37c | 525.09$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.67 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed M80 | 59c | 494.95$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.3 | 467 | 46.7%218 W · 249 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6560…a77cbacked SaD Esports | 43c | 427$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 38cpaid | +103.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed SaD Esports | 45c | 424.11$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.47 | 936 | 49.3%461 W · 475 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed M80 | 62c | 282.42$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.92 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked SaD Esports | 47c | 232.61$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.28 | 1,253 | 49.5%620 W · 633 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed SaD Esports | 10c | 199.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e51…2412backed SaD Esports | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked SaD Esports | 26c | 177.68$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 1,312 | 43.8%575 W · 737 L | -44.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked SaD Esports | 26c | 164.91$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.43 | 1,612 | 45.1%727 W · 885 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked M80 | 61c | 162$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.76 | 575 | 50.6%291 W · 284 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked M80 | 60c | 162$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.31 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed M80 | 59c | 162$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.87 | 338 | 38.5%130 W · 208 L | -21.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked M80 | 59c | 144$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.56 | 783 | 44.1%345 W · 438 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed M80 | 51c | 128.66$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.04 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a74…7a33backed SaD Esports | 44c | 127.44$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked M80 | 57c | 123.54$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.57 | 1,607 | 37.5%603 W · 1,004 L | -75.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed M80 | 60c | 120.56$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.49 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked M80 | 60c | 116$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 236 | 44.5%105 W · 131 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed M80 | 61c | 113$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.35 | 751 | 42.7%321 W · 430 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…d6d0backed M80 | 76c | 111.39$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed SaD Esports | 14c | 107.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 354 | 31.1%110 W · 244 L | -29.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed M80 | 59c | 105$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.23 | 818 | 34.8%285 W · 533 L | -61.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed M80 | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 184 | 57.1%105 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked M80 | 64c | 97.01$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.57 | 913 | 33.2%303 W · 610 L | -89.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed SaD Esports | 35c | 83.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 186 | 47.8%89 W · 97 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8e…a638backed SaD Esports | 49c | 81.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed SaD Esports | 29c | 78.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked M80 | 58c | 73.54$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.89 | 513 | 44.6%229 W · 284 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked SaD Esports | 40c | 69.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.77 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ae…a11fbacked M80 | 69c | 57.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed SaD Esports | 46c | 52.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 173 | 32.4%56 W · 117 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed M80 | 57c | 45.19$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -26.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…1068backed M80 | 62c | 34.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 65 | 72.3%47 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…980abacked M80 | 58c | 26.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf801…3161backed M80 | 65c | 22.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…1e57backed M80 | 74c | 20.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked M80 | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8569…2267backed M80 | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: M80 vs SaD Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: M80 vs SaD Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 PlayoffsM80 won
- Valorant: M80 vs SaD Esports - Map 1 WinnerM80 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.