Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: M80 vs SaD Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc88c23f053dcc1e80e7a2669472ec5fbd3fee3cf6614652145106428df92a834
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- M80of M80, SaD Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,404
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,082
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,404 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked M80 | 75c | 336.7$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SaD Esports | 27c | 306.9$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.48 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed SaD Esports | 24c | 233.2$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.36 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x738b…7579backed SaD Esports | 50c | 223.25$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.14 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe3…eaafbacked SaD Esports | 34c | 219.47$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.46 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked M80 | 70c | 176.33$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked M80 | 68c | 117.82$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.18 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked M80 | 78c | 111.95$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed M80 | 73c | 106$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed SaD Esports | 29c | 95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed SaD Esports | 22c | 93.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 237 | 45.1%107 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x010a…7084backed SaD Esports | 34c | 85.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked SaD Esports | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 106 | 33%35 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed SaD Esports | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked SaD Esports | 30c | 62.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked M80 | 64c | 54.03$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked M80 | 73c | 52.4$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…1068backed SaD Esports | 45c | 47.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 65 | 72.3%47 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37a8…8b4dbacked M80 | 54c | 37.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked SaD Esports | 46c | 36.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 155 | 35.5%55 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked M80 | 65c | 30.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | -18.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed M80 | 45c | 27.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 463 | 47.1%218 W · 245 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d66…aa07backed M80 | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9291…63d0backed M80 | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked M80 | 63c | 19.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: M80 vs SaD Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: M80 vs SaD Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 PlayoffsM80 won
- Valorant: M80 vs SaD Esports - Map 2 WinnerM80 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.