TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6560…a77c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Valorant, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 57 out of 100; worst Tennis at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-44.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 9z vs PARIVISION (BO5) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$342
Counter-Strike: Tricksters vs TheBoys (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #6 Playoffsbacked TheBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - RES Showdown Europe Playoffsbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$284
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+83.6%+$201.39
Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs Alliance (+1.5)backed Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+80.7%+$130.9
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Alliance (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$253
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs BESTIA (BO3) - RES Showdown South America Playoffsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+56.6%+$114.12
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs paiN (BO3) - RES Showdown South America Playoffsbacked largadosypelados · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$127
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Group Abacked Fake do Biru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+131.5%+$236.73
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs magic (BO3) - RES Showdown Europe Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs magic - Map 2 Winnerbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - RES Showdown Europe Playoffsbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$420.91
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$327.12
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+96.2%+$134.67
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs BIG (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1612.5%2 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick32cpaid-60.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lincoln: Dhakshineswar Suresh vs Moez Echarguibacked Dhakshineswar Suresh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+231.8%+$283.87
Swedish Open, Qualification: Elmer Moeller vs Thomas Faurelbacked Elmer Moeller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Hugo Gastonbacked Hugo Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.55
Swedish Open, Qualification: Francesco Passaro vs Maks Kasnikowskibacked Maks Kasnikowski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Swedish Open, Qualification: Gonzalo Bueno vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondesbacked Gonzalo Bueno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.15
Iasi Open, Qualification: Zhibek Kulambayeva vs Lisa Zaarbacked Lisa Zaar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Iasi Open, Qualification: Georgina Garcia Perez vs Andreea Prisacariubacked Andreea Prisacariu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.89
Newport: Adam Walton vs Alex Michelsenbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$286.68
Braunschweig: Facundo Acosta vs Hugo Gastonbacked Hugo Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+203.9%+$301.17
Swiss Open, Qualification: Otto Virtanen vs Dylan Dietrichbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Swiss Open, Qualification: Thiago Monteiro vs Pierre-Hugues Herbertbacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$226
Swiss Open, Qualification: Daniel Michalski vs Calvin Hemerybacked Daniel Michalski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$177
Set 2 Winner: Monteiro vs Herbertbacked Monteiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$245
ITF Astana: Aruzhan Sagandikova vs Kamonwan Yodpetchbacked Kamonwan Yodpetch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Set 2 Winner: Sinner vs Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
All 16 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick38cpaid+103.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Valorant — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.8
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$334.78
Valorant: Barça eSports vs Mandatory (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Playoffsbacked Barça eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$167
Valorant: M80 vs SaD Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked SaD Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$182
Valorant: Fire Flux Esports vs Çilekler (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Playoffsbacked Çilekler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+296%+$287.09
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs MIBR LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+167.6%+$279.89
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+259.8%+$227.45
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$142.84
All 8 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$139.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsbacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$783Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$782.56
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.