Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe233f4354c99cc4d739e85f877fc1613b1b8569c1da0032f35896655890bddaa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RE.Ariseof RE.Arise, Nemiga Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,421
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,421 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Nemiga Gaming | 40c | 3,750$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.1 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed RE.Arise | 60c | 3,439$2,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.48 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nemiga Gaming | 27c | 2,789$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.84 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Nemiga Gaming | 18c | 2,665$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.74 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked RE.Arise | 70c | 2,055$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.33 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 20c | 1,335$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.29 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Nemiga Gaming | 22c | 1,069$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.04 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed RE.Arise | 64c | 1,040$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.72 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 23c | 848.1$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.17 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Nemiga Gaming | 2c | 803.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 30c | 787.48$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.44 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…03a6backed RE.Arise | 72c | 741.79$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.68 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nemiga Gaming | 20c | 719.84$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.59 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Nemiga Gaming | 28c | 709.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Nemiga Gaming | 28c | 705.25$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.39 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5280…86f9backed Nemiga Gaming | 28c | 680.19$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb9…1d15backed Nemiga Gaming | 50c | 596.49$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…294fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 21c | 575.08$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nemiga Gaming | 20c | 428.6$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.68 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked RE.Arise | 73c | 402.07$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.69 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b61…a7fabacked RE.Arise | 76c | 368.41$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6560…a77cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 31c | 357.86$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f78fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 28c | 357.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Nemiga Gaming | 14c | 341.78$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.57 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Nemiga Gaming | 19c | 324.11$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.98 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Nemiga Gaming | 10c | 303.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked RE.Arise | 60c | 299.98$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.49 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nemiga Gaming | 31c | 285.91$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.39 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe37c…ef29backed Nemiga Gaming | 32c | 277.03$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.97 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Nemiga Gaming | 24c | 258.52$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Nemiga Gaming | 21c | 249$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed RE.Arise | 78c | 243.14$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.57 | 137 | 64.2%88 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28f6…79c0backed Nemiga Gaming | 19c | 240.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.76 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaae…ec88backed Nemiga Gaming | 9c | 231.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13ee…01aebacked RE.Arise | 71c | 225$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.25 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…f39fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 25c | 217.25$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nemiga Gaming | 22c | 213.93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.01 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x677a…c1f4backed Nemiga Gaming | 40c | 204.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 30c | 204.85$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.55 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 24c | 200$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 312 | 51.3%160 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 33c | 186.05$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 374 | 41.2%154 W · 220 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Nemiga Gaming | 28c | 185.95$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.41 | 440 | 49.3%217 W · 223 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Nemiga Gaming | 11c | 181.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 8%4 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed Nemiga Gaming | 14c | 178.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Nemiga Gaming | 22c | 165.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.63 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…9609backed RE.Arise | 63c | 159.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Nemiga Gaming | 28c | 151.61$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 192 | 49%94 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed RE.Arise | 63c | 146.6$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.37 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked RE.Arise | 75c | 145.67$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.42 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 42c | 134.88$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 28c | 134$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.17 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 28c | 128.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked RE.Arise | 79c | 123.55$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 143 | 36.4%52 W · 91 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nemiga Gaming | 27c | 122.88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed Nemiga Gaming | 32c | 121.12$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb6…5154backed Nemiga Gaming | 41c | 120.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed RE.Arise | 79c | 118$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed Nemiga Gaming | 28c | 114.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 19c | 107.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 18c | 104.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5d7backed Nemiga Gaming | 38c | 104.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 372 | 53%197 W · 175 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Nemiga Gaming | 12c | 104.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 90 | 31.1%28 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 29c | 102.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf461…9ef2backed RE.Arise | 77c | 102.28$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62d6…54e8backed RE.Arise | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked RE.Arise | 75c | 99.82$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Nemiga Gaming | 16c | 97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Nemiga Gaming | 16c | 94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Nemiga Gaming | 19c | 88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked RE.Arise | 58c | 86.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 338 | 54.1%183 W · 155 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Nemiga Gaming | 33c | 85.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d68…cd6abacked RE.Arise | 77c | 82.61$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed RE.Arise | 70c | 80.73$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…9e95backed Nemiga Gaming | 30c | 79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -6.9wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed RE.Arise | 76c | 75.24$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 14c | 74.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 421 | 46.6%196 W · 225 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked RE.Arise | 73c | 72.8$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Nemiga Gaming | 25c | 71.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked RE.Arise | 80c | 66.32$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57c9…aa73backed Nemiga Gaming | 24c | 61.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbac…1a1cbacked RE.Arise | 78c | 58.83$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed RE.Arise | 79c | 55.7$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 426 | 60.1%256 W · 170 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Nemiga Gaming | 37c | 50.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3147…2b50backed Nemiga Gaming | 37c | 50.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…3332backed Nemiga Gaming | 43c | 50.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed RE.Arise | 67c | 50.2$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 426 | 39.4%168 W · 258 L | -39.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked RE.Arise | 65c | 49.38$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d98…1c46backed RE.Arise | 75c | 47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked RE.Arise | 67c | 45.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9311…e731backed RE.Arise | 70c | 42.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…e27cbacked RE.Arise | 73c | 41.84$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68f0…c32dbacked RE.Arise | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +105.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked RE.Arise | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 444 | 74.8%332 W · 112 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Nemiga Gaming | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked RE.Arise | 64c | 38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed RE.Arise | 58c | 34.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked RE.Arise | 62c | 34.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 WinnerRE.Arise won
- Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 WinnerNemiga Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.