TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbbac…1a1c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
45
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Dota2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 56 out of 100; worst NHL at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+189.9%+$28.48
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+60%+$44.37
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.4
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$46.43
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42.72
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$22.66
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$25.14
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.18
Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+105.8%+$32.79
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$43.51
Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+91%+$54.59
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Metsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$24
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Alliance (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$18.86
Counter-Strike: TheBoys vs banda chuya (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #6 Playoffsbacked TheBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+55.1%+$27.54
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs magic (BO3) - RES Showdown Europe Playoffsbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$15.62
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - RES Showdown Europe Playoffsbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Counter-Strike: Kaleido Gaming vs The Huns Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Asian Qualifier Playoffsbacked The Huns Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+41%+$45.52
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Group Abacked Isurus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+62.3%+$51.05
Counter-Strike: banda chuya vs Al Ahli (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #6 Playoffsbacked banda chuya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+96.7%+$20.3
Counter-Strike: maybe vs Tricksters (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #6 Playoffsbacked Tricksters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+48.9%+$45.8
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffsbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
All 9 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick62cpaid+35.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$255.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.