Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Hive vs Team Syntax (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5fd2cf4e54b80d96abd12e50f7ef142557ace9c8c59dce721a31da3051511491
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Syntaxof Hive, Team Syntax
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,415
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,170
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,415 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Team Syntax | 3c | 8,268$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,987.43 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.26per pick | 37cpaid | +171.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Team Syntax | 55c | 4,953$2,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,217.84 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Syntax | 66c | 3,700$2,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.03 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Hive | 77c | 2,934$2,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,261.72 | 1,113 | 36.2%403 W · 710 L | -37.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Syntax | 48c | 2,511$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.02 | 944 | 42.3%399 W · 545 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Team Syntax | 73c | 2,442$1,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.76 | 410 | 55.1%226 W · 184 L | +39.6wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7e…3fd4backed Hive | 67c | 2,100$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Team Syntax | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.98 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +19.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Team Syntax | 49c | 1,550$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.24 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68b7…0812backed Team Syntax | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 4cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Team Syntax | 60c | 1,443$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.96 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Hive | 39c | 1,298$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.47 | 339 | 51.3%174 W · 165 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Hive | 36c | 1,153$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.2 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Hive | 37c | 1,145$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.27 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Team Syntax | 44c | 1,005$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.25 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Team Syntax | 53c | 912.43$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.84 | 471 | 46.1%217 W · 254 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hive | 55c | 865.96$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.39 | 376 | 32.2%121 W · 255 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…6ba4backed Hive | 41c | 730.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Hive | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Hive | 40c | 669.02$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.72 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Hive | 19c | 665.56$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.23 | 233 | 36.9%86 W · 147 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…3540backed Team Syntax | 31c | 663.67$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.12 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +10.3wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…19e2backed Team Syntax | 32c | 660$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.4 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Syntax | 24c | 652.85$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.92 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Hive | 52c | 626.08$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.32 | 889 | 38%338 W · 551 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Hive | 68c | 617.19$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.75 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b39…1f68backed Team Syntax | 32c | 600$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +11.3wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1d…2b19backed Team Syntax | 32c | 600$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +11.3wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x029e…b19cbacked Team Syntax | 32c | 600$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +46%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…1ffcbacked Team Syntax | 32c | 600$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.2 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcae8…63e6backed Team Syntax | 25c | 600$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7049…85a5backed Team Syntax | 32c | 600$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | +10.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3702…9b19backed Team Syntax | 32c | 600$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2eef…28adbacked Hive | 50c | 590.22$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b34…e95dbacked Hive | 40c | 590$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.02 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7160…cce2backed Team Syntax | 5c | 500$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad0…7132backed Team Syntax | 3c | 491$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.97per pick | 3cpaid | +3,445.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Hive | 29c | 464.58$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.09 | 878 | 38.3%336 W · 542 L | -42.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x339d…b918backed Team Syntax | 19c | 450$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Hive | 39c | 441.06$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.18 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3d…51b8backed Hive | 50c | 432$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Team Syntax | 4c | 426.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.91 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…e7f0backed Team Syntax | 5c | 416.66$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.83 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Hive | 70c | 414$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.08 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa5…4859backed Hive | 43c | 405.19$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.66 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Team Syntax | 51c | 400$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2899…42a5backed Hive | 50c | 396.59$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Team Syntax | 38c | 391.93$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.45 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Team Syntax | 55c | 389.59$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.2 | 711 | 42.6%303 W · 408 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Team Syntax | 27c | 379$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.27 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Team Syntax | 50c | 376.08$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.2 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Team Syntax | 27c | 359.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.03 | 283 | 36.4%103 W · 180 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd22a…2a00backed Team Syntax | 50c | 337.49$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aaa…e611backed Team Syntax | 6c | 332.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.77 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +277.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hive | 43c | 322.83$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.61 | 1,894 | 47.7%903 W · 991 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Hive | 45c | 317.97$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.53 | 1,255 | 49.6%623 W · 632 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Team Syntax | 6c | 315.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.93 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Team Syntax | 58c | 303.96$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.3 | 695 | 52.2%363 W · 332 L | +45.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Hive | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Hive | 25c | 282.24$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.71 | 213 | 28.2%60 W · 153 L | -16.0wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd2…87f4backed Team Syntax | 31c | 273$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.87 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +13.0wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…af4dbacked Team Syntax | 31c | 273$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.87 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +12.5wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bd…226cbacked Team Syntax | 31c | 273$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.87 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Hive | 36c | 254.01$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.12 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Hive | 24c | 247.91$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.68 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Hive | 31c | 237.95$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.62 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed Team Syntax | 57c | 231.53$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.62 | 217 | 69.1%150 W · 67 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed Hive | 50c | 225.74$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.52 | 419 | 53.7%225 W · 194 L | +16.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba46…6ac5backed Hive | 50c | 200.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 75%39 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f1…668ebacked Team Syntax | 18c | 200$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Hive | 39c | 197$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 1,151 | 47.8%550 W · 601 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Team Syntax | 70c | 196.49$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.17 | 802 | 44.9%360 W · 442 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Hive | 37c | 192$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.27 | 436 | 49.1%214 W · 222 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Hive | 36c | 191.32$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.5 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Hive | 25c | 173.31$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.49 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Team Syntax | 53c | 166.06$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.05 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Team Syntax | 11c | 162.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.91 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Hive | 33c | 155.83$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.72 | 565 | 45%254 W · 311 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Hive | 32c | 154.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked Hive | 50c | 154$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Hive | 39c | 153.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.26 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Hive | 41c | 152.67$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.33 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Hive | 35c | 150.51$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.94 | 192 | 49%94 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Hive | 59c | 149.98$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.84 | 412 | 46.8%193 W · 219 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Hive | 41c | 147.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.22 | 1,691 | 41.4%700 W · 991 L | -40.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Hive | 48c | 142.44$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.79 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Hive | 42c | 142.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.68 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Hive | 38c | 135.9$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.07 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbac…1a1cbacked Team Syntax | 60c | 129.21$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.21 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Hive | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Hive | 42c | 127.49$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.02 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked Hive | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Hive | 39c | 125$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 402 | 42.3%170 W · 232 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Hive | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 374 | 41.2%154 W · 220 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Team Syntax | 46c | 114.11$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.42 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Team Syntax | 16c | 107.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.3 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed Hive | 37c | 102.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 252 | 38.9%98 W · 154 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5f…6ee5backed Hive | 44c | 101.37$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.47 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed Hive | 41c | 98.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6384…3d67backed Team Syntax | 56c | 96.31$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Hive vs Team Syntax (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Hive vs Team Syntax - Game 1 WinnerTeam Syntax won
- Dota 2: Hive vs Team Syntax - Game 2 WinnerHive won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.