TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Hive vs Team Syntax - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Syntaxof Hive, Team Syntax
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,362
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$39,048

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,362 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3413…8ff2backed Team Syntax48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,199.8947646.4%221 W · 255 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6eac…e409backed Team Syntax52c3,389$1,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,622.9710961.5%67 W · 42 L+11.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed Hive49c2,819$1,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.0371454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc1de…21f5backed Team Syntax47c2,060$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.230452.3%159 W · 145 L+20.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Hive56c1,774$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Hive46c1,658$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.8350353.9%271 W · 232 L+26.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Syntax51c1,171$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.8395342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6450…9547backed Hive34c917.96$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.6910141.6%42 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Syntax44c898.08$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.742,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x997c…51f3backed Hive53c848.84$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.778250%41 W · 41 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfab…f067backed Hive50c779.47$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.3348057.1%274 W · 206 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed Hive52c726.23$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.0516055.6%89 W · 71 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Hive52c717.2$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.9419458.8%114 W · 80 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Hive52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30034051.5%175 W · 165 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5f6…38e8backed Hive2c569.41$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.763323%10 W · 322 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-57.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7d3…698bbacked Hive55c562.45$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.7248053.1%255 W · 225 L+25.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcaa5…4859backed Hive54c537.58$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.922347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e19…d2b0backed Hive52c507.3$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.812547.2%59 W · 66 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcb8…6b51backed Hive43c499.03$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.6442053.6%225 W · 195 L+16.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Team Syntax42c473.26$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.261,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Hive52c461.15$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.814655.5%81 W · 65 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x615d…bd5bbacked Hive53c437.58$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.922857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0593…9712backed Hive51c432.19$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.2821769.1%150 W · 67 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed Hive60c416$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.634443.9%151 W · 193 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Hive52c405$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.2277256.5%436 W · 336 L+30.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c73…750abacked Hive31c405$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.516328.8%47 W · 116 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-29.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Hive51c399.39$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.4496645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e2f…9123backed Hive52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007341.1%30 W · 43 L-6.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Hive43c382.67$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.72,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked Hive67c363.72$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.328145.6%128 W · 153 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Hive50c308.14$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.5591553.3%488 W · 427 L+48.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6d3…bab9backed Hive52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1567041.4%29 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0273…f081backed Hive48c295.99$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.0815639.1%61 W · 95 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Hive52c250$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba46…6ac5backed Team Syntax59c240.31$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.245275%39 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Hive45c234.78$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.729432.3%95 W · 199 L-19.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Hive31c219$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.6689938%342 W · 557 L-45.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed Hive48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015648.7%76 W · 80 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Hive52c201.45$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.651,15447.7%550 W · 604 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Hive23c196.31$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.989238.1%340 W · 552 L-42.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed Team Syntax52c192.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.298040%32 W · 48 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Hive40c192$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.4312432.3%40 W · 84 L-10.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-41.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Hive52c187.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.419053.2%101 W · 89 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed Team Syntax37c180.6$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.4296245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Hive52c179.55$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.2626147.9%125 W · 136 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Hive25c179.13$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3169132.6%225 W · 466 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x28f5…2035backed Hive53c170$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.133265.4%217 W · 115 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x267c…5bfdbacked Hive60c141.57$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9415551.6%80 W · 75 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed Hive52c138.75$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.1528544.9%128 W · 157 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56fb…3a1bbacked Hive43c123.59$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.348961.8%55 W · 34 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Hive38c115$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5253538.5%206 W · 329 L-26.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Hive42c109.25$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.441,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Hive53c100.06$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8271143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Hive46c98.29$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.011,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17ef…9a2cbacked Hive52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014856.8%84 W · 64 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec96…f5d7backed Team Syntax45c88.89$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8937253%197 W · 175 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed Hive25c87$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7541632.7%136 W · 280 L-37.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-41.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Team Syntax52c84.62$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.625940.7%24 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Team Syntax52c82.69$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.696543.1%28 W · 37 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b6f…aab3backed Hive66c75.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5042660.1%256 W · 170 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked Team Syntax38c75$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.52744.4%12 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc9f4…c1e4backed Team Syntax43c62.83$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6942639.4%168 W · 258 L-39.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-31.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Team Syntax52c61.54$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.544025%10 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-25.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0188…afc3backed Team Syntax49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.63250%16 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+4.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked Team Syntax53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.611452.6%60 W · 54 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5867…2e20backed Hive44c55.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5625339.1%99 W · 154 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc869…bc8dbacked Hive45c55.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2537441.2%154 W · 220 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked Team Syntax38c53.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3414848%71 W · 77 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc37d…e586backed Hive65c50.61$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7638759.4%230 W · 157 L+26.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Hive52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2634041.2%140 W · 200 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Hive52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2617443.1%75 W · 99 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Team Syntax31c48.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3919449%95 W · 99 L+11.8wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Team Syntax52c42.31$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.317445.9%34 W · 40 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Hive33c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.21,12036.1%404 W · 716 L-39.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x08fa…f1e0backed Hive55c35.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5281345.1%367 W · 446 L-26.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e43…0306backed Hive47c30.63$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.482441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb4d…d388backed Hive33c30.61$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.19645.8%44 W · 52 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3162…d515backed Hive54c27.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8835948.2%173 W · 186 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac1a…8689backed Hive52c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked Hive52c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Hive52c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1312353.7%66 W · 57 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02b6…8f5fbacked Hive46c24.89$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4920%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Hive55c19.43$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6727459.5%163 W · 111 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.