Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Hive vs Team Syntax - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x642076de2952f148fcdea9b2505b075a1e6a8095aa5d76bedd63fae8fe6525ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hiveof Hive, Team Syntax
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,751
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,314
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,751 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Syntax | 65c | 10,908$7,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,090.77 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Hive | 36c | 3,793$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,439.09 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Hive | 36c | 2,872$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,838.25 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Hive | 30c | 1,178$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.43 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Syntax | 40c | 1,056$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.44 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Hive | 34c | 1,037$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.4 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Hive | 41c | 610.42$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.2 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Hive | 35c | 516.04$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.98 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Hive | 61c | 476.99$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.83 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Syntax | 31c | 441.17$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.79 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Hive | 46c | 355.15$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.9 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba46…6ac5backed Team Syntax | 66c | 303.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 52 | 75%39 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Hive | 43c | 240.5$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.74 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Hive | 50c | 226.8$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.71 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed Hive | 56c | 206.8$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.16 | 217 | 69.1%150 W · 67 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Hive | 36c | 176.92$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.23 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa5…4859backed Hive | 36c | 148.66$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.14 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Syntax | 57c | 135.2$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Syntax | 40c | 121.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.82 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed Team Syntax | 51c | 120$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.95 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Hive | 36c | 118.27$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.99 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Team Syntax | 66c | 116.84$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.57 | 274 | 59.5%163 W · 111 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Hive | 32c | 116.28$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.73 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc02b…80f3backed Hive | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Team Syntax | 64c | 92.19$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.24 | 473 | 58.6%277 W · 196 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37a8…8b4dbacked Hive | 55c | 73.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 159 | 57.9%92 W · 67 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Hive | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5f…6ee5backed Hive | 36c | 65.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.94 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe559…b262backed Hive | 36c | 61.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.11 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Hive | 32c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.66 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Syntax | 21c | 56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed Team Syntax | 45c | 53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f7…aebbbacked Team Syntax | 38c | 52.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed Team Syntax | 60c | 45.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 387 | 59.4%230 W · 157 L | +26.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Hive | 36c | 43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf461…9ef2backed Hive | 48c | 40.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Hive | 42c | 38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Hive | 58c | 36.97$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed Team Syntax | 39c | 36.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 426 | 39.4%168 W · 258 L | -39.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Team Syntax | 37c | 35.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Hive | 31c | 34.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 186 | 52.2%97 W · 89 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed Hive | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Team Syntax | 50c | 21.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Hive | 63c | 20.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Hive | 77c | 16.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.82 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Hive vs Team Syntax - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Hive vs Team Syntax (BO3) - European Pro League PlayoffsTeam Syntax won
- Dota 2: Hive vs Team Syntax - Game 1 WinnerTeam Syntax won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.