TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc02b…80f3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
55
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Lol, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 60 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT3122.6%7 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-55%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,145
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$855Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+110.5%+$945
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+29%+$144
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$407Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$610.06
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Spread: United States (-1.5)backed United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$157
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$487Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$487.33
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$170.37
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$203.03
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.22per pick40cpaid+31%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Lol — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$359.98
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$389.99
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$285
LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
LoL: JD Gaming vs MIBR.LOS - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
LoL: GAM Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+30%+$23.1
LoL: GAM Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
LoL: G2 Esports vs AG.AL (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked AG.AL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$130
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$885Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$415
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+150%+$60
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.41
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
All 16 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Dota 2: Hive vs Team Syntax - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hive · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Newport: Jacob Fearnley vs Stefan Kozlovbacked Jacob Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.