TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,550,620
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,280,736

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,550,620 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 450 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes3c459,510$13,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,559.442,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes3c378,834$10,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,075.58,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes3c190,000$5,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,476.9456410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes3c185,707$5,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,475.441,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd49f…4507backed Yes3c160,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00012210.7%13 W · 109 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51ea…150fbacked Yes3c100,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50019332.1%62 W · 131 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes3c89,147$2,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,340.1329916.7%50 W · 249 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-53.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec44…c92bbacked Yes3c60,000$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7408521.2%18 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid+13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dd1…d33cbacked Yes3c36,863$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.29527.7%4 W · 48 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick14cpaid-85.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes3c34,565$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,071.5875729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71d6…7248backed Yes1c32,345$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.14807.5%6 W · 74 L0.0wins0.00per pick7cpaid-43.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x870f…6da1backed Yes3c28,492$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.7422338.1%85 W · 138 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Yes3c25,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74035229.3%103 W · 249 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4125…268bbacked Yes3c22,051$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6004012.5%5 W · 35 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes3c19,857$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.9465737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ea…992ebacked Yes3c19,231$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002420.8%5 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick18cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2179…bedbbacked Yes2c19,000$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356355.7%2 W · 33 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-83.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18d4…69a9backed Yes3c18,007$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.0525124.7%62 W · 189 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes3c15,000$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42541429%120 W · 294 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd8c…b750backed Yes3c14,755$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.848010%8 W · 72 L+0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid+43.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes4c14,134$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.994,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22b2…be32backed Yes3c13,000$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3772119%4 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes3c12,846$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.9227520.4%56 W · 219 L+1.2wins0.00per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes3c11,631$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.1778317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9629…972bbacked Yes3c10,864$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.62187.3%16 W · 202 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40a7…dcdebacked Yes1c10,602$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5735.5%4 W · 69 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick1cpaid+212.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeee5…0e1bbacked Yes3c10,555$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290316.5%2 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick6cpaid-49.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5745…aa5ebacked Yes3c10,442$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2905623.2%13 W · 43 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick18cpaid+42.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39f6…ad6dbacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102544%11 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Yes3c10,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29024526.5%65 W · 180 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f45…39d2backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1070%0 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes3c9,763$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.842,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x764f…5496backed Yes6c9,470$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6007229.2%21 W · 51 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b36…0d4bbacked Yes3c9,459$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.3473626.5%195 W · 541 L-0.7wins0.00per pick27cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3415…1fb1backed Yes2c8,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200557.3%4 W · 51 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-51.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc05d…bcafbacked Yes3c7,479$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200214.8%1 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick12cpaid-79.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec37…3645backed Yes3c7,464$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2112119%4 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-49.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Yes3c7,400$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22224028.8%69 W · 171 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6db…2f0dbacked Yes3c7,237$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.77412.4%1 W · 40 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-96.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3250…c232backed Yes2c6,999$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.48368.3%3 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick6cpaid+30.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c36…89ffbacked Yes3c6,998$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.9129017.6%51 W · 239 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbeb…2ba4backed Yes3c6,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012715%19 W · 108 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick16cpaid+14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x725b…8016backed Yes3c6,497$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.93345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd58d…cb8abacked Yes3c6,392$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.066311.1%7 W · 56 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d6f…4997backed Yes3c6,260$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023513.2%31 W · 204 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+52%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x662a…77b7backed Yes3c6,249$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026618%48 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f9c…93edbacked Yes3c5,891$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick18cpaid-90.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec92…6b59backed Yes3c5,700$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.423613.9%5 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-60.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…5e2abacked Yes2c5,638$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.035413%7 W · 47 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-59.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1069…a176backed Yes2c5,637$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb76f…593ebacked Yes3c5,538$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+73.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b35…4a36backed Yes2c5,238$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.531756.3%11 W · 164 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-37%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…de62backed Yes3c5,229$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.044153.7%22 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes4c5,193$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.871,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f5d…e4e5backed Yes3c5,172$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503928.2%11 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes3c5,126$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15021522.8%49 W · 166 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes3c5,100$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.7472722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes3c4,750$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.0975335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Yes4c4,738$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.641,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55b9…3f67backed Yes3c4,668$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.877613.2%10 W · 66 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9de9…ee25backed Yes3c4,566$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.284114.6%6 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Yes2c4,500$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.6969826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcff7…7a58backed Yes3c4,444$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+81.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc3db…0f98backed Yes4c4,444$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.8619020.5%39 W · 151 L-0.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb803…1664backed Yes5c4,400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20060%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes4c4,118$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15846223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…b70cbacked Yes3c4,028$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.7220427%55 W · 149 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x268b…4890backed Yes3c4,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100424.8%2 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid+12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8783…db0cbacked Yes3c4,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019342%81 W · 112 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc02b…80f3backed Yes3c4,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203122.6%7 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-55%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes2c3,988$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.622,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c81…e3b9backed Yes3c3,953$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick6cpaid-51.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd357…888cbacked Yes3c3,798$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100345.9%2 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick10cpaid-72.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d21…ff55backed Yes3c3,797$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.6330%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfe8…67d4backed Yes3c3,778$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.4510230.4%31 W · 71 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed Yes3c3,704$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025228.2%71 W · 181 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5626…80f0backed Yes3c3,571$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100621.6%1 W · 61 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick5cpaid-79.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bcb…8626backed Yes3c3,449$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001035.8%6 W · 97 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc76…0738backed Yes3c3,440$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.36639.5%6 W · 57 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick8cpaid+61.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e80…7b85backed Yes2c3,428$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.291020%2 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Yes3c3,405$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.5314119.9%28 W · 113 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-28.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes3c3,404$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.542,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ae1…378fbacked Yes3c3,400$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10218929.1%55 W · 134 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d01…914abacked Yes3c3,337$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick9cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc427…efdfbacked Yes3c3,333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100362.8%1 W · 35 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick9cpaid-65.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4dd…5859backed Yes3c3,333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes3c3,313$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.0238817%66 W · 322 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8144…0fd3backed Yes3c3,289$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.0720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f0…0cf1backed Yes3c3,226$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001155.2%6 W · 109 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…fc6cbacked Yes3c3,169$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8028528.8%82 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Yes5c3,091$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.8546230.1%139 W · 323 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7f1…b052backed Yes3c3,078$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015930.2%48 W · 111 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+44.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd975…63e4backed Yes3c3,030$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004020%8 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes2c3,000$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.2140515.3%62 W · 343 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b22…f295backed Yes3c2,990$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753315.2%5 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f6d…f161backed Yes3c2,964$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805311.3%6 W · 47 L+0.2wins0.00per pick11cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes3c2,853$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.471,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes2c2,819$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.445627.9%127 W · 329 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f55…37ccbacked Yes7c2,776$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-40.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd24a…0d9bbacked Yes3c2,692$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805721.1%12 W · 45 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick14cpaid+31.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.