TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Norway 3 - 1 England?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,463,879
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,327,653

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,463,879 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 277 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes3c195,938$5,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,331.272,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes3c152,035$4,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,095.188,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes3c69,510$1,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,835.8656410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec44…c92bbacked Yes3c60,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5608521.2%18 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid+13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes3c32,315$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.8929916.7%50 W · 249 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-53.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Yes2c30,034$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.7926320.5%54 W · 209 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes3c27,257$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.761,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc820…f4d2backed Yes1c19,273$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.74190%0 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeee5…0e1bbacked Yes3c16,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400316.5%2 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick6cpaid-49.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cea…e48ebacked Yes3c12,000$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32424146.1%111 W · 130 L+8.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaab…d63fbacked Yes3c11,657$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.4360%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71d6…7248backed Yes2c11,450$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.08807.5%6 W · 74 L0.0wins0.00per pick7cpaid-43.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2568…ad68backed Yes3c10,705$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004517.8%8 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+35.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b36…0d4bbacked Yes3c10,181$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.5173626.5%195 W · 541 L-0.7wins0.00per pick27cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95d9…ab03backed Yes2c10,012$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.242317.4%4 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick14cpaid+24.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf956…2ec2backed Yes2c10,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2404219%8 W · 34 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-27.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11fd…a851backed Yes2c9,993$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.883810.5%4 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-66.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes4c8,567$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.9375729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x268b…4890backed Yes3c8,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200424.8%2 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid+12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb616…b9a1backed Yes3c8,000$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2221910.5%2 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.17per pick27cpaid-75.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc805…8e99backed Yes3c7,952$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.622142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes3c7,642$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.3472722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c36…89ffbacked Yes3c7,490$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.9129017.6%51 W · 239 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6423…e456backed Yes3c7,448$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21630%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x662a…77b7backed Yes3c7,057$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026618%48 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf346…8232backed Yes2c7,000$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13225510.6%27 W · 228 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb803…1664backed Yes3c5,882$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20060%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc83f…ed1ebacked Yes4c5,686$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507636.8%28 W · 48 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+103.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b98…5beabacked Yes5c5,317$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.734719.1%9 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick16cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b35…4a36backed Yes2c5,282$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251756.3%11 W · 164 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-37%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Yes3c5,000$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13535229.3%103 W · 249 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed Yes3c4,965$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15025228.2%71 W · 181 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes2c4,544$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.272,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes3c4,390$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.1978317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f9c…93edbacked Yes2c4,348$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick18cpaid-90.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes3c4,311$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.961,20632.7%394 W · 812 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c81…e3b9backed Yes2c4,301$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick6cpaid-51.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa855…439dbacked Yes2c4,209$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes3c4,190$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.2175335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes2c4,077$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.8765737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa97d…3874backed Yes4c3,996$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010318.4%19 W · 84 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-32.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd357…888cbacked Yes3c3,986$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100345.9%2 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick10cpaid-72.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca85…7453backed Yes3c3,846$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007722.1%17 W · 60 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd975…63e4backed Yes3c3,793$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1104020%8 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfe8…67d4backed Yes3c3,778$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.4510230.4%31 W · 71 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0a4…eff9backed Yes3c3,728$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3415…1fb1backed Yes3c3,708$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100557.3%4 W · 51 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-51.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Yes3c3,600$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9014119.9%28 W · 113 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-28.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d01…914abacked Yes3c3,571$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick9cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes3c3,533$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10046223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x987c…8c2bbacked Yes2c3,357$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.291717.6%3 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick9cpaid+41.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a3c…2db9backed Yes3c3,280$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823616.7%6 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick10cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes3c3,221$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.654,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe24e…350cbacked Yes3c3,119$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012529.6%37 W · 88 L+10.0wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes3c3,018$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031611.4%36 W · 280 L+0.4wins0.00per pick11cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3250…c232backed Yes3c3,000$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5368.3%3 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick6cpaid+30.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c20…2256backed Yes2c2,609$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010733.6%36 W · 71 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x671a…cf16backed Yes3c2,596$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706266.7%42 W · 584 L-0.6wins0.00per pick7cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes3c2,492$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.133915.9%54 W · 285 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfaa…43e2backed Yes3c2,490$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.3628134.5%97 W · 184 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37a1…6691backed Yes3c2,424$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.619125.1%48 W · 143 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+79.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5eab…79b2backed Yes3c2,400$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+55.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes2c2,267$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036631.1%114 W · 252 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe80f…3354backed Yes2c2,255$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5031728.1%89 W · 228 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes3c2,222$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.431,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes3c2,200$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0353920.6%111 W · 428 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-38.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf10d…b67abacked Yes3c2,143$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602313%3 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xede0…20a7backed Yes3c2,131$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60466.5%3 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick6cpaid+42.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Yes3c2,126$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4578835.3%278 W · 510 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc67c…5047backed Yes2c2,083$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012529.6%37 W · 88 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81b4…3458backed Yes3c2,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504126.8%11 W · 30 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick19cpaid+1.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb76f…593ebacked Yes3c2,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+73.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bea…a7e6backed Yes7c1,932$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.5617659.7%105 W · 71 L+25.3wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+36.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xdedb…f657backed Yes3c1,900$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4166.3%1 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick3cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Yes3c1,863$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5032922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ae1…378fbacked Yes3c1,800$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.418929.1%55 W · 134 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe828…5ceabacked Yes2c1,790$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.742917.2%5 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-19%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84c9…c1dcbacked Yes3c1,786$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508321.7%18 W · 65 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd35…8ad8backed Yes3c1,786$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502755.6%15 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+51.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe1e7…3a36backed Yes3c1,786$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011915.1%18 W · 101 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9622…c630backed Yes3c1,786$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504334.9%15 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf173…e01dbacked Yes3c1,763$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3570%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc53a…f1d0backed Yes2c1,739$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403810.5%4 W · 34 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick4cpaid+107.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aba…ca36backed Yes3c1,724$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5060%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x33a4…561bbacked Yes3c1,724$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50120%0 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd753…6053backed Yes3c1,724$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030219.9%60 W · 242 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3bd1…0a97backed Yes3c1,724$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505217.3%9 W · 43 L0.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid+91.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a21…f1babacked Yes3c1,724$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.991735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xded4…07d7backed Yes3c1,698$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.442222.7%5 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick14cpaid+39.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5d0…8011backed Yes3c1,687$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.23220%0 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes2c1,672$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6745627.9%127 W · 329 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ede…385abacked Yes3c1,629$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.23100%0 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…5e2abacked Yes2c1,558$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.585413%7 W · 47 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-59.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7201…fe41backed Yes11c1,500$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.117816.7%13 W · 65 L+0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38d5…559bbacked Yes3c1,429$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4050%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x186a…0f15backed Yes3c1,429$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401735.3%6 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick24cpaid-4.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes3c1,408$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4256022.7%127 W · 433 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f72…630cbacked Yes3c1,379$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.17529.6%5 W · 47 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-33%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc31c…df2ebacked Yes2c1,368$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcfd1…928abacked Yes3c1,294$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.823010%3 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-47%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.