Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 0 England?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d7f5cbbece018f2bb4349652c24589ce2c1a39349084f26f37af14a377d5ac3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $810,900
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $720,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $810,900 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 1c | 90,221$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.28 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 1c | 52,292$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.1 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…7047backed Yes | 1c | 47,727$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.72 | 175 | 6.9%12 W · 163 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +112.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Yes | 1c | 33,763$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.63 | 299 | 16.7%50 W · 249 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 1c | 17,226$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.68 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 2c | 16,349$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.22 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3d…b162backed Yes | 1c | 16,057$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.74 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 1c | 15,934$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.25 | 727 | 22.7%165 W · 562 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed Yes | 1c | 13,719$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 266 | 18%48 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…e196backed Yes | 0c | 12,570$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 172 | 29.1%50 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc34…b4a9backed Yes | 1c | 11,573$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.62 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 4cpaid | +282.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x268b…4890backed Yes | 1c | 11,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 4.8%2 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x451a…3b01backed Yes | 1c | 11,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424d…ac5dbacked Yes | 1c | 11,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf956…2ec2backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f23…40b4backed Yes | 1c | 9,091$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb721…24f0backed Yes | 1c | 8,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4125…268bbacked Yes | 1c | 8,288$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b36…0d4bbacked Yes | 1c | 7,623$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.12 | 736 | 26.5%195 W · 541 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…ff9bbacked Yes | 1c | 7,489$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 13%9 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…00a7backed Yes | 1c | 6,348$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 91 | 25.3%23 W · 68 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc83f…ed1ebacked Yes | 4c | 6,058$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.52 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +103.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 405 | 15.3%62 W · 343 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec97…9b3ebacked Yes | 1c | 4,607$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…2db9backed Yes | 1c | 4,583$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a4…561bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,850$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f72…630cbacked Yes | 2c | 3,684$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.54 | 52 | 9.6%5 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ede…385abacked Yes | 1c | 3,630$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.19 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd1…0a97backed Yes | 1c | 3,571$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 17.3%9 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes | 1c | 3,034$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 539 | 20.6%111 W · 428 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 1c | 2,929$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…5e2abacked Yes | 1c | 2,410$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 54 | 13%7 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…0bc9backed Yes | 1c | 2,308$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 1c | 2,308$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 147 | 19.7%29 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a3…0c5dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,308$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,308$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 339 | 15.9%54 W · 285 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1169…26b3backed Yes | 1c | 2,143$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4372…6a96backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 269 | 21.6%58 W · 211 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf31d…f07abacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,925$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…650bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,894$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 9cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,820$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,771$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc90…da40backed Yes | 1c | 1,667$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6d…f161backed Yes | 1c | 1,538$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 11.3%6 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11c1…83afbacked Yes | 1c | 1,538$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 1c | 1,538$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc710…691bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,538$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fb…1227backed Yes | 1c | 1,538$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 2c | 1,502$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd1…c14ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00e8…0039backed Yes | 1c | 1,484$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6f…d024backed Yes | 1c | 1,475$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 774 | 33.1%256 W · 518 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd733…5e1ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,388$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9785…2419backed Yes | 1c | 1,259$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae6…21aabacked Yes | 1c | 1,249$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…b01abacked Yes | 1c | 1,154$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7475…74bbbacked Yes | 2c | 1,098$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9336…0b9dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,083$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…2e23backed Yes | 1c | 1,077$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…032dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 121 | 23.1%28 W · 93 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…6d98backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e7…dc64backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 73 | 8.2%6 W · 67 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -47%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd3…88bcbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…7adfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4625…00eabacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbea2…b81abacked Yes | 1c | 846.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 48 | 10.4%5 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x307c…9ca2backed Yes | 1c | 828.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35bb…e9eabacked Yes | 1c | 812.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +407.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13b…5f1abacked Yes | 2c | 770.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x863a…e428backed Yes | 1c | 769.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x341f…0442backed Yes | 2c | 700$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 150 | 20%30 W · 120 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x118c…ae45backed Yes | 3c | 689.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 251 | 15.5%39 W · 212 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e7…06c1backed Yes | 2c | 680$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9a…65d8backed Yes | 1c | 669.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e8…24e3backed Yes | 3c | 384.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Norway 3 - 0 England?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 0 - 0 England?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 0 - 1 England?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 0 - 2 England?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 0 - 3 England?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 1 - 0 England?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?Yes won
- Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 England?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 2 - 0 England?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 2 - 3 England?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 3 - 1 England?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 3 - 3 England?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.