TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3cca…2e23

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 57 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT220%0 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.71
Exact Score: England 3 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Bukayo Saka: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Declan Rice: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Michael Olise: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.92
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 0 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Exact Score: Norway 0 - 0 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.54
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 0 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.22
Ismael Saibari: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.57
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.65
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.89
Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
All 22 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT2119%4 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-48.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.87
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.63
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$198
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Spread: Everton FC (-1.5)backed Everton FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$208
Spread: West Ham United FC (-1.5)backed West Ham United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)backed Sunderland AFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
AFC Bournemouth vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$107
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)backed Aston Villa FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$129
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+177.8%+$177.78
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$144.12
West Ham United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+177.8%+$74.67
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+233.3%+$233.33
All 21 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick20cpaid-74.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick13cpaid+98.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$119
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$81
Hornets vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$82
All 4 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+562.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+455.6%+$227.78
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+669.2%+$334.62
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Barcelona vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.