La Liga · resolved market
FC Barcelona vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92d06b4b781622bd3465dd30b0d330e7cc1e69430b2d69028609b97ca9f4f954
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,761
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,140
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,761 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 7c | 9,701$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.51 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 13c | 6,303$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.38 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 7c | 3,656$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.92 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 8c | 1,315$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Under | 15c | 1,208$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.2 | 196 | 62.8%123 W · 73 L | +20.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 9c | 1,117$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…2e23backed Under | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 8c | 934.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.76 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 8c | 624.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 9c | 495$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf91c…baa7backed Under | 7c | 397.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Under | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0391…ef9bbacked Under | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 8c | 249.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ac…7409backed Over | 80c | 124.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Barcelona vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Barcelona vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Barcelona vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Barcelona vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Barcelona vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)FC Barcelona won
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)FC Barcelona won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)FC Barcelona won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-2.5)FC Barcelona won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.