TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

FC Barcelona vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$94,652
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$114,785

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,652 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under39c12,515$4,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,931.824,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under44c11,572$5,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,091.6769142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Over56c6,980$3,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,066.313762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8873…09fcbacked Over58c5,168$2,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,170.611442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x79b6…612ebacked Over76c5,133$3,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.81968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf425…be71backed Over47c2,534$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,334.22616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-64.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over57c2,500$1,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0758853.4%47 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under42c2,313$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.5250249.6%249 W · 253 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8a1…2b76backed Over76c2,070$1,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.8650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed Under36c1,900$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6835942.4%25 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed Over75c1,731$1,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.752951.7%15 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under44c1,500$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.7930446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Over58c1,379$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.3120843.3%90 W · 118 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x138d…3bd4backed Under16c1,267$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.281020%2 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-55%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4704334.9%15 W · 28 L-7.0wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-34%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Over53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47013845.7%63 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under41c928.09$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.651,65143.9%724 W · 927 L-21.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x421b…8982backed Over77c922.83$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.233551.4%18 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over64c911.13$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.2310938.5%42 W · 67 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-3.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7878…26d9backed Under56c807.62$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under43c678$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.5414647.9%70 W · 76 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Over58c648.28$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.283565.7%23 W · 12 L+4.7wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+29.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x552b…604bbacked Under54c554.52$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3bf…762dbacked Over71c550$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1603262.5%20 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over58c528.76$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.971758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a32…9875backed Under19c511.59$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.111323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-62.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under43c496$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.2879133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over56c446$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.2411336.3%41 W · 72 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over56c442.35$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.1650149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1b0…1846backed Over58c431.03$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.032075%15 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+21.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Under50c381$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.2115246.1%70 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Under51c359$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.9911947.1%56 W · 63 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under36c350.01$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.273,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1263…fddcbacked Over58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.832962.1%18 W · 11 L+4.2wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+44.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Under52c328$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.8412944.2%57 W · 72 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Under54c270$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.7313249.2%65 W · 67 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7db0…f397backed Under54c270$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.171747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Over48c260$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.23447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under42c253.33$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.471,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dfe…d83fbacked Under62c241.94$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15030%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over76c238.16$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1617458.6%102 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over45c220$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12117128.1%48 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3247…eb6ebacked Over57c219.67$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.46250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Over57c219.3$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.33363.6%21 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a0c…0beebacked Over46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.394942.9%21 W · 28 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+88.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8750…0841backed Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.331656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick67cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over56c200.01$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.0142851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Over49c199.99$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1025149%25 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbbaf…842ebacked Over78c190.08$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.08540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-29.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under18c189.7$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5583640%334 W · 502 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5726545.3%120 W · 145 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over56c178.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.8517648.3%85 W · 91 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4116865.5%110 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c77…8f06backed Under51c157.09$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802944.8%13 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-21.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Under43c157$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.511735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Under8c145.49$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.351833.3%6 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Under44c141.14$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.19237%34 W · 58 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x306f…01c7backed Over71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.852100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x863f…7b79backed Over35c140$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under44c136$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2219247.4%91 W · 101 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under23c132.13$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.551,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Over48c130$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.64744.7%21 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Over50c128$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under43c115.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.528334.9%29 W · 54 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe350…61f0backed Under43c114$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.021040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over55c113$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.076752.2%35 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4c1…185cbacked Under36c112.14$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Under46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505940.7%24 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa50…27d6backed Under38c108.16$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb581…1b9cbacked Under44c107.14$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.146861.8%42 W · 26 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed Under42c105.98$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.515563.6%35 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda4f…65babacked Under22c104.28$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1cb…c25bbacked Under49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5060%0 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over51c102.04$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509947.5%47 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e03…0733backed Over64c101.56$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.56944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd164…f17bbacked Under69c101.45$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Under51c101.19$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8614342%60 W · 83 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2762744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4338748.1%186 W · 201 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x993a…1e2fbacked Over56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.632657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+20.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4342158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over58c90$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.822638.5%87 W · 139 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over63c88.13$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6124757.5%142 W · 105 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x565b…fa9bbacked Over57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.722462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2149228.9%142 W · 350 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Over58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.217440.5%30 W · 44 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0aa0…be2dbacked Under45c85.08$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.071435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under39c83.32$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3441147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over55c82.13$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.211448.2%55 W · 59 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67b1…63ecbacked Over56c81.11$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.691369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.26per pick44cpaid+54.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Under44c74.98$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9911741.9%49 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9184…6048backed Over58c68.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.972365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under26c65.27$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9717044.1%75 W · 95 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5e2…0dcdbacked Over57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.63837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-22.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.084062.5%25 W · 15 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+31.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x05bb…1879backed Over57c51.28$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.212661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed Over56c49.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25ef…8e6fbacked Over56c44.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.451346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf05f…91d5backed Over57c43.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.861752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Over72c41.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.678142%34 W · 47 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-18.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.