TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

FC Barcelona vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,648
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,546

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,648 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x02d8…0c91backed Over77c10,335$7,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,377.12475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+76.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b25…b5ccbacked Over79c7,606$5,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,609.072055%11 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under27c5,200$1,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,388.24,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under23c4,739$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089.998334.9%29 W · 54 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under23c2,162$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.1779133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under21c2,025$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.1150449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5849…dcf1backed Under24c809.33$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.241010%1 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick25cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Over57c792.32$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.74445.5%20 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over78c791.74$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.1813263.6%84 W · 48 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under30c783.31$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.013,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x421b…8982backed Over72c709.32$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.513551.4%18 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over77c646.22$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.229564.2%61 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x138d…3bd4backed Under27c639.07$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.851020%2 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-55%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Over57c625.87$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.1222753.3%121 W · 106 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Over71c599.99$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.284158.5%24 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under18c560.37$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.331,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under23c499.95$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.9931745.7%145 W · 172 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over58c399.97$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.995056%28 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over76c375.56$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.2642851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf63…65dfbacked Over57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.882634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under12c323$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9483939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1b0…1846backed Over77c311.69$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.692075%15 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+21.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over77c300$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6942458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Under21c286$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0615851.3%81 W · 77 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86e2…2157backed Over77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under24c250$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6089050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under24c250$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under24c250$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0391…ef9bbacked Under23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-39.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5032145.8%147 W · 174 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3aa…7a89backed Under10c213.55$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2250%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463327.3%9 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-32.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over76c180.9$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.52,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf226…9c0fbacked Under23c173.83$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.985349.1%26 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Under23c172.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3511336.3%41 W · 72 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbfb…ba4cbacked Over78c169.32$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e35…8e5fbacked Under13c137.62$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed Over75c133$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.254082.5%33 W · 7 L+6.5wins+0.16per pick66cpaid+28.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd3de…fe0ebacked Over78c132$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.371471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+31.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8750…0841backed Over76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.581656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick67cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x02b6…8f5fbacked Over78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.211553.3%8 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick67cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x621e…471fbacked Over78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.212466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under20c118$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0119247.4%91 W · 101 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e03…0733backed Under30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3279…a922backed Over67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+36.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x25ef…8e6fbacked Over60c86.27$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.511346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c4…359ebacked Over71c83.1$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.13467.6%23 W · 11 L+9.0wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+113.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x7fa9…5c8ebacked Under29c82.38$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.89837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2321…6a04backed Over78c76.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.571181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick68cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6481…b1bfbacked Over66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.768170.4%57 W · 24 L+8.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over60c74.43$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.777855.1%43 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over77c66.5$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2928847.6%137 W · 151 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9411651.7%60 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f5…3047backed Over78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.19857.1%56 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed Under33c63$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.546144.3%27 W · 34 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa03…45e9backed Under24c61$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.341747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Under25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510244.1%45 W · 57 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Under37c60$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.213249.2%65 W · 67 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over77c51.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9514852.7%78 W · 70 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-16.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd8d4…3691backed Over78c51.28$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.284047.5%19 W · 21 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1211066.4%73 W · 37 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0079…b852backed Over64c46.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.883180.6%25 W · 6 L+6.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+36.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdc96…e37cbacked Over68c43.21$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under24c42.16$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3341147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over77c38.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.969966.7%66 W · 33 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Over77c35.57$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1811354.9%62 W · 51 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cae…db7fbacked Over68c35.29$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x31eb…0cf8backed Over65c33.85$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.851693.8%15 W · 1 L+4.6wins+0.29per pick65cpaid+57.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3dc0…0633backed Over78c33.72$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.42650%3 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-35.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd033…033dbacked Over77c32.47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.47837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick66cpaid-42.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over78c32.05$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.053943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Under37c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.115246.1%70 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Under37c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.112944.2%57 W · 72 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Under37c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.111947.1%56 W · 63 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7db0…f397backed Under37c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.11747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Over55c22.11$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.952941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c9a…553bbacked Over75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.951172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9867…bc76backed Over78c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over74c19.27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.0157252.1%298 W · 274 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c9…2bd8backed Over69c17.37$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.32286.4%19 W · 3 L+4.5wins+0.21per pick66cpaid+31.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Over78c17.15$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.841283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick62cpaid+30.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over76c14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.361,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5337…222bbacked Over77c13.16$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.031050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.