TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x31eb…0cf8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
88
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: La Liga, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 62 out of 100; worst Serie A at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$21.54
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.06
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$17.93
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$44.55
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.98
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.72
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+138.7%+$15.25
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$26.43
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+72.4%+$36.21
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+47.1%+$14.12
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+47.1%+$23.53
All 22 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$17.37
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$11.33
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$15.56
Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$29.95
Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$28.71
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Fulham FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.53
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$26.77
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.69
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.21
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$25.34
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$19.44
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 17 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1693.8%15 W · 1 L+4.6wins+0.29per pick65cpaid+57.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
La Liga — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$34.51
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$15.26
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$18.11
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-04-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$9.85
Levante UD vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.04
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.12
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$24.7
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$25.94
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$29.55
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$64.37
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$17.37
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+270.4%+$54.07
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
FC Barcelona vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+53.8%+$11.85
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$35
All 16 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick62cpaid-22.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$12.31
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.13
SSC Napoli vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.27
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.04
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.78
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.65
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$37.33
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+43%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick68cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$23.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.