Premier League · resolved market
Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8aed33b7fee7a7df4d9621e85f3b3c9a16c13bddc3cd05fca581302787caa19a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,012
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,012 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 14,244$6,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,509.9 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 52c | 5,574$2,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,652.22 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6114…69dbbacked Yes | 44c | 4,545$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,545.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 51c | 2,896$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.1 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 37c | 2,142$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.04 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 37c | 2,131$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.42 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked Yes | 63c | 1,552$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.26 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 36c | 1,502$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.63 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 55c | 1,061$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.65 | 236 | 32.2%76 W · 160 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed No | 37c | 992.2$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.11 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98f2…65dcbacked Yes | 64c | 917.25$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.21 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 37c | 856.41$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.87 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b9…db66backed Yes | 64c | 831.64$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf08c…19d2backed No | 37c | 829.89$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…0aa3backed No | 37c | 819.89$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5176…9712backed Yes | 63c | 799.6$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…bafebacked Yes | 61c | 797.48$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1317backed Yes | 50c | 780.31$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.87 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 64c | 764.38$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.18 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed No | 37c | 761.47$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.75 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31cb…a34bbacked No | 37c | 739.86$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.75 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 60c | 662.17$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.16 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked Yes | 64c | 643.79$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.94 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a10…7843backed Yes | 63c | 574.48$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.56 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Yes | 56c | 557.96$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.91 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…6db9backed Yes | 63c | 555.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.72 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 61c | 527.27$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.5 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x214a…408abacked Yes | 60c | 507.03$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Yes | 63c | 488.9$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.89 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 37c | 482.15$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.17 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 36c | 455.13$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.78 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Yes | 63c | 440$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.8 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed No | 42c | 422.24$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.29 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Yes | 63c | 417.51$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.48 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…8fc6backed Yes | 63c | 403.54$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.31 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 63c | 399.86$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.95 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…3f0bbacked Yes | 64c | 396.13$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.58 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Yes | 78c | 371.78$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.94 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 52c | 367.89$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.38 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…a62ebacked No | 38c | 349.63$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 63c | 333.17$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.44 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 41c | 331.73$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.72 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c55…ad47backed No | 29c | 322.69$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf853…8088backed Yes | 64c | 307.02$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.53 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac1…3afebacked Yes | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked No | 63c | 281.76$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.75 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0941…b254backed No | 38c | 269.76$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.51 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Yes | 37c | 260.05$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.83 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…9d56backed No | 39c | 248.39$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.33 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -59%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Yes | 41c | 235.27$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.81 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb781…9ba9backed Yes | 64c | 234.82$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.53 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd99…c06cbacked Yes | 63c | 232.31$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…586dbacked Yes | 38c | 229.74$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.08 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…7a3abacked Yes | 63c | 213.16$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 72cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x996e…fe9fbacked Yes | 64c | 200.27$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf86d…f572backed Yes | 64c | 189.57$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6eb…bc82backed No | 10c | 168.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 66c | 166.18$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x46f3…8b96backed No | 38c | 165.88$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed No | 12c | 160$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 50 | 16%8 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 63c | 156.53$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.07 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…4cd5backed No | 31c | 155.52$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…d1ffbacked Yes | 63c | 155.21$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8337…9aacbacked Yes | 64c | 153.15$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Yes | 64c | 152.88$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c5…0b24backed Yes | 64c | 152.88$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…2b82backed No | 37c | 150.14$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes | 35c | 149.97$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.48 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed No | 37c | 149.96$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.48 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a8…2282backed Yes | 58c | 144.9$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Yes | 39c | 139.72$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.68 | 412 | 60.2%248 W · 164 L | +22.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 65c | 136.53$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.44 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Yes | 62c | 136.21$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.76 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 63c | 127.93$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.9 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc115…9138backed Yes | 64c | 124.27$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.03 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 63c | 115$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 277 | 52.3%145 W · 132 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 14c | 110.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked No | 47c | 109.17$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.01 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked No | 38c | 107.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8562…ad77backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…995ebacked No | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68d1…f166backed Yes | 29c | 99.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.32 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Yes | 64c | 97.84$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b68…0060backed Yes | 63c | 97.78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa64c…34f2backed Yes | 63c | 97.78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddb…a7a5backed Yes | 51c | 96.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…d1d0backed Yes | 63c | 96.23$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…ef6abacked No | 37c | 96.22$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…d99abacked No | 32c | 95.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x870c…b899backed Yes | 63c | 94.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 49c | 94.04$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.67 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6969…73c9backed Yes | 64c | 93.25$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3981…2933backed Yes | 63c | 92.66$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.28 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 64c | 90.33$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 56c | 88.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.63 | 220 | 57.7%127 W · 93 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a8…a3d3backed No | 37c | 88.63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Yes | 46c | 84.14$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.44 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9794…6831backed Yes | 64c | 83.42$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)Manchester United FC won
- Spread: Brentford FC (-2.5)Manchester United FC won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)Brentford FC won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)Brentford FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.