Premier League · resolved market
Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1700f6d654e6e869b13480d5e2bf328cd7b2a53d6603613ce02f8590dce4faac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,683
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,900
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,683 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Over | 33c | 13,281$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,319.5 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 61c | 11,067$6,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,316.06 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 39c | 9,056$3,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,518.48 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 66c | 8,612$5,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,951.1 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Under | 48c | 4,143$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,158.78 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8873…09fcbacked Over | 55c | 3,541$1,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,945.94 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Over | 39c | 3,505$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 61c | 3,274$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.73 | 157 | 57.3%90 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 36c | 2,830$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.02 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 2,755$1,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.06 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…8814backed Over | 40c | 2,619$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.29 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 39c | 2,470$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.4 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Under | 65c | 2,311$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.88 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5f…cdfcbacked Under | 47c | 2,120$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Over | 54c | 1,794$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.52 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 21c | 1,680$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.71 | 63 | 17.5%11 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 60c | 1,670$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.98 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x933f…1540backed Under | 59c | 1,634$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcd…f84fbacked Under | 62c | 1,584$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.79 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Under | 47c | 1,554$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Under | 66c | 1,552$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.83 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 61c | 1,506$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.85 | 162 | 38.3%62 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 32c | 1,457$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.04 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Under | 62c | 1,419$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.04 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 12c | 1,409$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.12 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 38c | 1,315$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.7 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Under | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 48c | 976.26$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.88 | 306 | 45.8%140 W · 166 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…b78abacked Under | 60c | 976$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Over | 54c | 972.4$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.1 | 197 | 29.4%58 W · 139 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 54c | 925.14$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.58 | 192 | 35.9%69 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 61c | 904.48$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.75 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 39c | 864.59$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.19 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4520…e501backed Under | 48c | 792.41$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.93 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e8…3680backed Under | 56c | 778.88$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 39c | 722.55$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.79 | 136 | 30.9%42 W · 94 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 68c | 572.41$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.17 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 77c | 556.55$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.71 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 18c | 531.61$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.07 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked Under | 62c | 502.6$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.99 | 112 | 65.2%73 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5e…9c6ebacked Over | 19c | 440.65$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 64c | 414.74$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.19 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 23c | 414.7$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.38 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Over | 19c | 400$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 137 | 21.2%29 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 21c | 398.06$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.98 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Over | 55c | 355.04$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.27 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over | 54c | 349.34$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.65 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 68c | 326.99$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.25 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over | 44c | 299.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae2…6ca6backed Under | 62c | 298.03$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.54 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Over | 15c | 297.01$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ef…f569backed Over | 16c | 291.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x206b…61f0backed Under | 62c | 268.08$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.87 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Under | 78c | 253.03$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.67 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 56c | 252.56$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.7 | 108 | 74.1%80 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 50c | 249.32$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.17 | 489 | 50.1%245 W · 244 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…0104backed Under | 80c | 247.29$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.71 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0563…340dbacked Under | 62c | 236.86$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 68c | 228.53$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.79 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 38c | 219.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.59 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e02…5ddabacked Over | 50c | 219.39$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 62c | 208.83$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.35 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 45c | 208.38$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.61 | 137 | 60.6%83 W · 54 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a21…ba51backed Over | 24c | 205.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.63 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e5…74f7backed Over | 40c | 198.58$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Over | 50c | 194.28$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 48c | 193.76$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.76 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 45c | 192.48$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.13 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74a0…1be2backed Under | 62c | 157.61$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.89 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 61c | 155$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.02 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed Over | 39c | 149.43$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.28 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 34c | 143.64$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.46 | 212 | 50%106 W · 106 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 68c | 143.46$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.91 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc2…68cebacked Under | 62c | 139.65$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 61c | 131.46$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.27 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44ab…e7b6backed Under | 62c | 128.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 39c | 122.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdda4…b658backed Under | 56c | 122.75$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c0…f0c5backed Over | 40c | 120.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 40c | 120.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xded4…1e6dbacked Under | 66c | 118.78$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.42 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 60c | 112.5$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Over | 38c | 111$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 173 | 37.6%65 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Over | 40c | 108.45$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.38 | 177 | 55.9%99 W · 78 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 61c | 100.03$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.01 | 157 | 38.9%61 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcb…575ebacked Over | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed Under | 52c | 99.92$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.96 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 38c | 99.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.63 | 335 | 51.3%172 W · 163 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb00d…af5fbacked Under | 58c | 97.48$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Under | 61c | 96.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.39 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 62c | 89.3$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.16 | 279 | 48%134 W · 145 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 41c | 86.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 25c | 83.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 408 | 21.8%89 W · 319 L | -53.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 58c | 81.59$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.62 | 220 | 57.7%127 W · 93 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked Under | 62c | 78.81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f96…e7f0backed Over | 50c | 77.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 72c | 71.09$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked Under | 45c | 67.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.23 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa185…497abacked Over | 40c | 65.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)Manchester United FC won
- Spread: Brentford FC (-2.5)Manchester United FC won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)Brentford FC won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)Brentford FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.