TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$114,683
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$122,900

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,683 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4408…1b6abacked Over33c13,281$4,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,319.57750.6%39 W · 38 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under61c11,067$6,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,316.065552.7%29 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over39c9,056$3,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,518.481,01233.2%336 W · 676 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under66c8,612$5,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,951.14,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3234…8b1abacked Under48c4,143$1,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,158.783348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8873…09fcbacked Over55c3,541$1,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,945.943545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Over39c3,505$1,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,367.02633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-47.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under61c3,274$1,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,276.7315757.3%90 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Over36c2,830$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.024540%18 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under66c2,755$1,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.066,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe4d0…8814backed Over40c2,619$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.291163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over39c2,470$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.410739.3%42 W · 65 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Under65c2,311$1,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.883871.1%27 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b5f…cdfcbacked Under47c2,120$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.6425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-46.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Over54c1,794$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.527045.7%32 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over21c1,680$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.716317.5%11 W · 52 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under60c1,670$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.9874644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x933f…1540backed Under59c1,634$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.13520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-66.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fcd…f84fbacked Under62c1,584$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.7912239.3%48 W · 74 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x085e…9aeabacked Under47c1,554$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.56633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Under66c1,552$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.832653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under61c1,506$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.8516238.3%62 W · 100 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over32c1,457$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.044129.3%12 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+39%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Under62c1,419$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.045442.6%23 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over12c1,409$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.1218842.6%80 W · 108 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over38c1,315$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.785048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Under46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5403655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over48c976.26$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.8830645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e16…b78abacked Under60c976$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.41050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Over54c972.4$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.119729.4%58 W · 139 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over54c925.14$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.5819235.9%69 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under61c904.48$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.7555751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over39c864.59$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.199724.7%24 W · 73 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4520…e501backed Under48c792.41$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.932236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e8…3680backed Under56c778.88$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.71650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over39c722.55$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.7913630.9%42 W · 94 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under68c572.41$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.1724052.9%127 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under77c556.55$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.711,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over18c531.61$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.076451.6%33 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb821…5cddbacked Under62c502.6$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.9911265.2%73 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff5e…9c6ebacked Over19c440.65$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-44.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under64c414.74$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.191,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over23c414.7$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.387233.3%24 W · 48 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over19c400$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7613721.2%29 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over21c398.06$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.9861143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3ac…5018backed Over55c355.04$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.272948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over54c349.34$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.653650%18 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under68c326.99$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.2522644.2%100 W · 126 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.210330.1%31 W · 72 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over44c299.99$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1321136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ae2…6ca6backed Under62c298.03$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.54771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+31.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Over15c297.01$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.683531.4%11 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72ef…f569backed Over16c291.33$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-37.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x206b…61f0backed Under62c268.08$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.87850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under78c253.03$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.673053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under56c252.56$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.710874.1%80 W · 28 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over50c249.32$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.1748950.1%245 W · 244 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72b2…0104backed Under80c247.29$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.711566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-3.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0563…340dbacked Under62c236.86$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under68c228.53$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.7911753%62 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over38c219.99$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.5941850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e02…5ddabacked Over50c219.39$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.51850%9 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed Under62c208.83$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.357660.5%46 W · 30 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-8.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under45c208.38$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.6113760.6%83 W · 54 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a21…ba51backed Over24c205.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.632138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x87e5…74f7backed Over40c198.58$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.43450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Over50c194.28$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977931.6%25 W · 54 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Under48c193.76$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.762650%13 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under45c192.48$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.137550.7%38 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74a0…1be2backed Under62c157.61$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.891040%4 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-40%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under61c155$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.0280953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x169e…de26backed Over39c149.43$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.284663%29 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over34c143.64$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4621250%106 W · 106 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under68c143.46$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9139555.9%221 W · 174 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bc2…68cebacked Under62c139.65$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.07366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under61c131.46$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2716053.1%85 W · 75 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x44ab…e7b6backed Under62c128.86$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.973650%18 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over39c122.9$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.939957.6%57 W · 42 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdda4…b658backed Under56c122.75$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-40.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95c0…f0c5backed Over40c120.5$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-43.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over40c120.5$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.28037.5%30 W · 50 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xded4…1e6dbacked Under66c118.78$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.424544.4%20 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under60c112.5$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Over38c111$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1817337.6%65 W · 108 L-0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Over40c108.45$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3817755.9%99 W · 78 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under61c100.03$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.0115738.9%61 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbcb…575ebacked Over15c99.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-74.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a08…2e25backed Under52c99.92$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.964252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over38c99.9$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6333551.3%172 W · 163 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb00d…af5fbacked Under58c97.48$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.94862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+35.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Under61c96.98$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.3910545.7%48 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Under62c89.3$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1627948%134 W · 145 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over41c86.35$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.418851.6%97 W · 91 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over25c83.71$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1340821.8%89 W · 319 L-53.7wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-49.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under58c81.59$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6222057.7%127 W · 93 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72bd…d37abacked Under62c78.81$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9511850.8%60 W · 58 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f96…e7f0backed Over50c77.6$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.81040%4 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under72c71.09$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.91,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea3d…2e9dbacked Under45c67.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.233551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa185…497abacked Over40c65.79$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.