TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x44ab…e7b6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
96
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: La Liga, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 52 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT3650%18 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.76
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.24
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$40.44
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.76
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$22.18
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$19.29
Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.82
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.18
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$48.97
West Ham United FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$28.28
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.17
Sunderland AFC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.86
AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$10.61
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$10.14
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.83
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.29
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+85.1%+$119.83
Will Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.56
Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$48.28
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.38
Brentford FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.13
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$60.61
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$76.5
Brentford FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$38.22
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT2556%14 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.65
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.3
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$12.57
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.44
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7.35
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.76
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.84
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.25
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.26
Spread: Rockets (-10.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$19.78
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+73.5%+$19.94
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.83
Spread: Thunder (-19.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10.37
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.08
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 206.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.05
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$13.75
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.45
Kings vs. Warriorsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
Bucks vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.96
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+36.9%+$4.45
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.15
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.73
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$27.92
Hornets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$76.34
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.75
All 25 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Deportivo Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.63
Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$20.61
Real Oviedo vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$21.94
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.99
Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$10.2
Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$49.18
Getafe CF vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.13
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$11.74
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.03
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.37
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.54
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$22.3
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$43.94
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$59.95
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+117.9%+$179.78
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$25.57
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$34.47
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$20.13
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$258.49
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$47.08
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.84
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.15
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.23
Will a club from France win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
All 12 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 157.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$11.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Torino FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.