Europa Conference League · resolved market
Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Porto: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x386341d2da6e0f6a6332c1f81e5239b032393f383d5649ee97577f3da868dcf2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,486
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,566
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,486 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 10,506$5,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,864.39 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 50c | 7,878$3,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,939.08 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 50c | 5,019$2,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,497.35 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed No | 55c | 4,010$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,804.76 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8519…f4e1backed Yes | 52c | 2,813$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.63 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Yes | 45c | 2,699$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.65 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 48c | 2,073$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.69 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 59c | 2,043$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.05 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70c9…caf5backed Yes | 51c | 1,919$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 50c | 1,794$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.11 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…2294backed No | 48c | 1,387$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked No | 49c | 1,019$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.05 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…3ff9backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd6…e33abacked Yes | 49c | 989.18$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.7 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…1f7bbacked Yes | 48c | 899.99$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 49c | 804.6$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.25 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 50c | 699.01$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.51 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Yes | 49c | 615.57$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.63 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed No | 51c | 612.17$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.67 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -5.1wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 50c | 608.79$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.63 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 50c | 582$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a41…1cbbbacked Yes | 52c | 560.31$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Yes | 45c | 536.69$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 49c | 510.42$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.11 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 52c | 486.85$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.76 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccea…a8ebbacked No | 50c | 439.92$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82be…172cbacked Yes | 44c | 439.05$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed No | 56c | 431.26$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.79 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.31per pick | 60cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Yes | 45c | 399.69$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa359…4387backed Yes | 49c | 395.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2df0…0bcfbacked No | 49c | 395.67$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1534…5b56backed Yes | 50c | 393.82$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf82…91ccbacked Yes | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf171…85febacked Yes | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6af…05c6backed Yes | 26c | 367.54$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.56 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes | 41c | 355.88$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.78 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 49c | 352.88$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.55 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb8…5a18backed No | 65c | 322.83$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.99 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a70…cba6backed Yes | 51c | 320.3$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.35 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba1f…1b83backed Yes | 33c | 314.96$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.94 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 48c | 299.97$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.98 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20dc…f74cbacked Yes | 49c | 296.76$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.41 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05a2…468cbacked Yes | 48c | 294.29$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.26 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 48c | 292.29$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.99 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Yes | 38c | 253.37$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.28 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…1ab4backed Yes | 49c | 231.47$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.42 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 34c | 210.23$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.48 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 49c | 203.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…6edbbacked Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd707…9ecabacked Yes | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…60c5backed Yes | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked No | 52c | 196.11$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.13 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 39c | 195.62$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.89 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 48c | 194.33$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.24 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a30…eb65backed Yes | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…0b69backed Yes | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed No | 51c | 186.25$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.26 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 48c | 180$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 51c | 179.68$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.25 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 49c | 177.54$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.99 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e19…1495backed Yes | 49c | 174.11$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.32 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked No | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…d9c3backed No | 64c | 165.86$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +67%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff70…78abbacked Yes | 49c | 160.94$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.86 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 51c | 157.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.42 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…9715backed Yes | 11c | 157.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfce…b388backed Yes | 45c | 157.26$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.77 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 52cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd74c…0bedbacked Yes | 49c | 152.33$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 17c | 149.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…7b16backed Yes | 34c | 146.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…46e5backed Yes | 34c | 141.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 38c | 134.79$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.22 | 155 | 62.6%97 W · 58 L | +22.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 37c | 128.4$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.63 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -9.4wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x44ab…e7b6backed Yes | 50c | 127.48$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 27c | 127.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.28 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 51c | 125.19$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.65 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Yes | 49c | 124.64$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.07 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 66c | 119.75$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 66c | 119.75$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 66c | 119.75$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…b39abacked Yes | 41c | 117.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 33c | 115.21$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8d…150bbacked Yes | 44c | 109.8$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 25c | 104.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1669…1363backed Yes | 51c | 100.87$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.44 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 92 | 22.8%21 W · 71 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1306…c689backed Yes | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaaf…eb38backed Yes | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6602…7047backed Yes | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…698cbacked Yes | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d76…6fd4backed Yes | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0016…e028backed Yes | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Porto: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Porto: O/U 3.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Porto: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)FC Porto won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)FC Porto won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.