Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0969aaecaca888ff151457eb0dbb1b7499d223b3f2bde9e94895a7b15037f42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Portoof Nottingham Forest FC, FC Porto
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,080
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,855
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,080 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FC Porto | 52c | 17,067$8,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,150.37 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Nottingham Forest FC | 53c | 7,659$4,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,028.67 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Nottingham Forest FC | 52c | 6,302$3,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,276.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed FC Porto | 37c | 3,559$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,230.94 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6596…e809backed FC Porto | 79c | 3,060$2,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 44c | 2,916$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.03 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nottingham Forest FC | 18c | 2,821$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.76 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed FC Porto | 59c | 1,288$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.11 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Nottingham Forest FC | 29c | 1,200$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.76 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Nottingham Forest FC | 42c | 1,038$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.3 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Nottingham Forest FC | 54c | 901.74$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.94 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Nottingham Forest FC | 30c | 870.64$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.28 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…5cfabacked Nottingham Forest FC | 16c | 723.44$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…ee1abacked Nottingham Forest FC | 62c | 680.48$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc418…5e1ebacked Nottingham Forest FC | 36c | 534.22$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed FC Porto | 73c | 531.32$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.54 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked FC Porto | 66c | 442.12$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.23 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked FC Porto | 79c | 329.66$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.69 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…04a8backed Nottingham Forest FC | 64c | 305.75$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed FC Porto | 56c | 301.39$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.83 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Nottingham Forest FC | 22c | 299.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 17c | 299.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed FC Porto | 78c | 288.45$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed FC Porto | 58c | 283.31$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.03 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 28c | 281.4$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.24 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Nottingham Forest FC | 64c | 280.75$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Nottingham Forest FC | 16c | 243.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 22cpaid | +173.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Nottingham Forest FC | 30c | 241.58$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.76 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 43c | 225.35$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.57 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Nottingham Forest FC | 26c | 211.92$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Nottingham Forest FC | 36c | 200.33$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.12 | 81 | 30.9%25 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed FC Porto | 63c | 170.72$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.47 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed Nottingham Forest FC | 40c | 165.72$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.87 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 64c | 155.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.8 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Nottingham Forest FC | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 18c | 133.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked FC Porto | 77c | 133.33$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nottingham Forest FC | 36c | 123.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.79 | 160 | 13.1%21 W · 139 L | -18.8wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -47%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 58c | 110$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Nottingham Forest FC | 64c | 107.01$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.49 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb86d…3c53backed Nottingham Forest FC | 18c | 105.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Nottingham Forest FC | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…a9a5backed Nottingham Forest FC | 42c | 94.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed FC Porto | 57c | 89.01$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.03 | 126 | 33.3%42 W · 84 L | -21.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed FC Porto | 71c | 86.73$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…b28bbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 54c | 82.26$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.42 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Nottingham Forest FC | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed FC Porto | 48c | 77.5$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked FC Porto | 64c | 68.42$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 32c | 65.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed FC Porto | 52c | 65.13$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Nottingham Forest FC | 18c | 63.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 92 | 22.8%21 W · 71 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 22c | 59.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed FC Porto | 50c | 58.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.29 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3e…8b7cbacked FC Porto | 67c | 58.53$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed FC Porto | 79c | 58$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 36c | 55.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 23cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed FC Porto | 48c | 50.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.34 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Nottingham Forest FC | 27c | 48.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed FC Porto | 60c | 38.95$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 64c | 35.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed FC Porto | 46c | 27.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0403…29d4backed Nottingham Forest FC | 54c | 27.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda5…830dbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 63c | 21.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Nottingham Forest FC | 61c | 19.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a4…d8b4backed FC Porto | 68c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)this page
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Porto: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Porto: O/U 3.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Porto: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)FC Porto won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.