Europa Conference League · resolved market
Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x724b26ba1b69f97d741a75de161c944774590afcb63be60fc9918da778b2fbe2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $167,184
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $166,049
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,184 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x073a…91e7backed Over | 41c | 24,000$9,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,839.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 41c | 22,304$9,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,095.32 | 128 | 32.8%42 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 15,402$9,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,240.28 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 50c | 9,849$4,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,894.21 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 42c | 5,087$2,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,132.25 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 59c | 5,023$2,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.56 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 30c | 4,608$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.27 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 60c | 3,998$2,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.1 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0486…fbe5backed Under | 60c | 3,904$2,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 58c | 3,591$2,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.1 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b4…1483backed Over | 42c | 3,447$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Over | 43c | 3,402$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.32 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +65%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…d24dbacked Over | 33c | 2,860$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.94 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 58c | 2,831$1,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.09 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…c193backed Under | 58c | 2,811$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 61c | 2,631$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.33 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 59c | 2,513$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.68 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc740…217ebacked Over | 41c | 2,357$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Under | 59c | 2,238$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.65 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 59c | 2,117$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.03 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -5.1wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed Under | 59c | 1,951$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 59c | 1,848$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.48 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 59c | 1,760$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.19 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 40c | 1,639$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.19 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Under | 59c | 1,598$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.55 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -41%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 64c | 1,467$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.65 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 41c | 1,165$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.43 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Under | 60c | 1,089$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 50c | 1,008$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.74 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…2294backed Over | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Under | 59c | 999.96$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.98 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Over | 41c | 964.6$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.49 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 21c | 835.35$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.21 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Over | 41c | 823.44$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.61 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 50c | 820.59$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.31 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 60c | 813.33$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.33 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 37c | 752.6$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.54 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96dd…ff8ebacked Under | 57c | 743.14$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 41c | 729.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.95 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 59c | 701.98$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.6 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 42c | 689.43$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 57c | 672$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.76 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 59c | 600$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.6 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…594fbacked Under | 75c | 591$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.75 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…ee20backed Over | 41c | 588.17$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 41c | 517.59$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.21 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…1f7bbacked Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +9.3wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…ff71backed Over | 46c | 499.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 41c | 470.54$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.92 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 43c | 449.21$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.16 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 58c | 431$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.02 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Under | 44c | 391$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.52 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 60c | 390.33$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.94 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 59c | 377$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.57 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 60c | 325.33$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.13 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Under | 60c | 325.33$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.13 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +57%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 47c | 299.01$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.95 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 53c | 252.61$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.44 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ee…446cbacked Over | 23c | 248.82$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 60c | 244$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.6 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…dbbfbacked Over | 59c | 241.15$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.69 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Over | 41c | 235.27$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.46 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 41c | 235.27$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.46 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Over | 42c | 231.69$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.31 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdae3…cf78backed Over | 42c | 229.81$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -73%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f3…f727backed Over | 42c | 229.81$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Over | 42c | 229.81$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…6373backed Over | 47c | 227.75$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Under | 58c | 210$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under | 58c | 210$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Under | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 46c | 200$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 59c | 200$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -9.2wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -30%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 60c | 195.2$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.08 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fed…f6a5backed Under | 44c | 193.28$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 68c | 192.41$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.84 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under | 58c | 185$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.7 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 39c | 180.73$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.48 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc568…916dbacked Over | 42c | 173.36$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 43c | 171.21$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.32 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf75b…ed74backed Over | 6c | 167.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Under | 60c | 164.94$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.98 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x181b…4941backed Over | 60c | 162.53$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Over | 65c | 148.45$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.49 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 59c | 139.13$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.74 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…f8a2backed Over | 26c | 135.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c3…dde1backed Over | 42c | 125.28$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.12 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 50c | 122.12$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.82 | 126 | 33.3%42 W · 84 L | -21.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Under | 53c | 120.59$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.02 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +35%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Over | 42c | 119.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.37 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…e5d8backed Over | 41c | 117.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d1…21c7backed Over | 41c | 117.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf00e…00f4backed Over | 42c | 117.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.23 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cea…ffd2backed Under | 76c | 106.34$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.23per pick | 66cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 42c | 99.17$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 92 | 22.8%21 W · 71 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfe…9408backed Under | 35c | 98.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5this page
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Porto: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Porto: O/U 3.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Porto: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)FC Porto won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)FC Porto won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.