TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$89,640
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,957

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,640 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under38c14,458$5,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,894.763,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over45c11,110$4,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.57554.7%41 W · 34 L+8.3wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+30.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under41c6,435$2,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,777.672,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over63c5,382$3,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,384.7984850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd705…fb7cbacked Under21c4,536$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,583.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over8c3,368$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.3916543.6%72 W · 93 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16e5…6373backed Over74c2,858$2,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,114.68728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-55.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under55c2,843$1,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,279.1163857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over69c1,498$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.26540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54d0…8e20backed Over68c1,468$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.42771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x62ff…5058backed Over68c1,406$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.281040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under33c1,167$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.135635.7%20 W · 36 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over41c1,146$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.191020%2 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-69.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under47c1,140$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.992650%13 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under32c1,138$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.5391950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under54c1,098$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.658550.6%43 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under62c1,063$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.6878344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff70…78abbacked Under20c997.57$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.192040%8 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…04fbbacked Over1c938.44$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under50c913.78$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.2438047.4%180 W · 200 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over69c832.61$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.51,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under15c790.96$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.672,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under41c744.73$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.9670239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under69c717.73$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.481741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd16…d24dbacked Over16c706.68$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.071631.3%5 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick22cpaid-6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under19c596.24$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.1438453.1%204 W · 180 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under45c582.35$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.296363.5%40 W · 23 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under32c579.4$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.3311443.9%50 W · 64 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x65a0…2a86backed Over68c576.94$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under33c532.99$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.3114552.4%76 W · 69 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaac8…b6f1backed Over68c525.07$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.942740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40a4…c6a9backed Over68c520.21$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under32c504.4$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.9943344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over48c499.98$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.998747.1%41 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Under77c485.11$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.871566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+91.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8db2…f8a2backed Over25c482.96$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.06175.9%1 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick15cpaid-86.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under32c398.97$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.39345.2%42 W · 51 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbaca…49e6backed Over68c383.65$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.882759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over68c328.2$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.188165.4%53 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over60c325.33$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.22254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed Over46c315.52$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.143256.3%18 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x53f2…defdbacked Under20c315.05$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.531827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under32c300$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20469448.8%339 W · 355 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Under32c300$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over67c292.6$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.042360.9%14 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over36c292.56$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.4513040%52 W · 78 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x34e8…100fbacked Over67c289.34$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.281060%6 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over50c271.83$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.783857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under33c267.27$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.75547.3%26 W · 29 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3be…c163backed Under77c266.84$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.29250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-35.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3248…8ba9backed Over67c256.02$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.531855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59b2…8297backed Under69c241.79$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.96250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc62d…8fd8backed Over49c237.4$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.331154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8643…0f54backed Over68c219.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.541060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57c8…3d9bbacked Over66c213.17$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.823847.4%18 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+43.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over68c177.25$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.784141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Over63c170.53$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.722948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Under54c168.37$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.454837.5%18 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Over67c164.36$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.81333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x859d…b336backed Under65c160.37$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Under20c160.09$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.645836.2%21 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over68c157.91$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.381,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46dc…92c3backed Under34c156.58$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.961936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Under17c150.91$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.261936.8%7 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+54.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under62c150$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under32c145.73$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.583033.3%10 W · 20 L-5.1wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-38.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under33c145.42$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.438349.4%41 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6687…b9ddbacked Under33c145.42$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.431747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under33c145.42$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.437357.5%42 W · 31 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over68c144.24$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.082347.8%11 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick62cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Over68c144.24$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.088369.9%58 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick71cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc947…38e5backed Over68c143.3$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cab…e9c4backed Over69c142.23$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.14475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea3d…2e9dbacked Under33c141.09$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.531553.3%8 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0828…d57ebacked Over77c130$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd53c…5194backed Over26c129.95$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.791822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-48.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under32c129.66$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.1766150.5%334 W · 327 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe7c…41c1backed Under40c119.69$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.48540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under31c119.04$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.331,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over67c116.54$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.0514767.3%99 W · 48 L-0.5wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e3e…7857backed Over53c114.15$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.753060%18 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under33c111$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.3721243.9%93 W · 119 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over67c108.8$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.91741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14c3…0262backed Over18c107.64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.011816.7%3 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-53.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3b5…5b6abacked Under33c101.24$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.83250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe80b…6fe4backed Over69c100.37$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.2620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under80c98.8$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.765064%32 W · 18 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over69c98.14$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7213337.6%50 W · 83 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Over46c97.47$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.611540%6 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x550d…f1ffbacked Under33c87.25$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.461560%9 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under26c86.21$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.7514654.1%79 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe29f…b2f0backed Under45c86.02$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.31250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6859…f7c2backed Over61c80.05$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.83683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick56cpaid+54.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under50c79.58$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.397237.5%27 W · 45 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd3b…cea6backed Over69c78.52$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3430%0 W · 3 L-2.2wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Over69c77.47$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.462429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under27c74.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.829056.7%51 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d8a…7a39backed Over68c72.12$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.04771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick76cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe398…ee2ebacked Over68c72.12$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.041752.9%9 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.18per pick71cpaid-28.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.