TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x073a…91e7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
115
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT3641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,950Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$1,050
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,716Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,716
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,100
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,400
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$498.58
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,754Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,754
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,620Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,620
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,935Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$2,565
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,070Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,070.31
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$478Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$459.13
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,520Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,519.99
Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,080Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$3,616.03
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$572Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$571.72
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,375Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,374.99
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 206.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$782Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$782.24
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$223.28
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$106.09
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,825Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,825
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,675Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,675
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,585Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$2,016.84
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$18
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,675Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,675
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,750Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$3,750
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10,350Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$4,650
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$4,635Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,634.64
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13,885Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$16,970.92
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18,884Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18,884.29
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$4,796Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,795.6
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26,830Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$26,829.94
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15,180Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17,820
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,250
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29,966Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+59.3%+$17,760.39
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,454Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,454.4
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11,783Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,782.95
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13,095Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,094.74
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Missouri Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16,200
UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked UCF Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19,242Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19,241.93
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Clemson Tigersbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,653Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$4,815.8
Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Hofstra Pride · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$9,576Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,575.77
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$118.65
Texas Longhorns vs. BYU Cougarsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15,120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$20,880
VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,065Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$3,900.83
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,269Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$653.82
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked Howard Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20,086Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+104.6%+$21,000.03
All 19 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15,260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,260.11
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$3,001Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+624.7%+$18,748.65
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$580.5
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$7,725Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,724.99
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$9,150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$2,849.99
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,098Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,098.21
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$9,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$6,000
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$8,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$6,599.95
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$3,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000.85
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$7,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,349.99
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,540
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$6,002Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$2,696.64
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$6,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$5,111.06
Germany to win the second half?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,258Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,257.68
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$6,336Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$2,463.98
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$6,336Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$2,464
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$6,789Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$3,211.12
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$5,220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,220
All 18 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+44.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+79.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,213Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$992.63
Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,749Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,551
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$3,781Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,780.93
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padresbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$319.97
All 4 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+111.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sunderland AFC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,681Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$2,138.99
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed Burnley FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,825Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$3,675
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+621.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,335Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,334.51
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$4,184Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+1,343.4%+$56,204.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$9,840Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,839.99
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$9,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,000
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,927Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$4,775.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24,700Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$22,800
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,872Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,728
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,358Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,358.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zoom Communications (ZM) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$54.91
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.