NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x198ebdb75118d24657ebd9d10343b72e124ad1c45bd78cbe43fd4bd0673fb165
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $328,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $330,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $328,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over | 50c | 84,693$42,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,346.28 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed Under | 49c | 36,568$17,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,649.83 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Under | 53c | 29,967$15,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,108.76 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 48c | 20,751$9,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,978.18 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Under | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,599.99 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e5…7a2bbacked Over | 36c | 19,911$7,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,257.17 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 47c | 15,668$7,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,363.89 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 50c | 11,840$5,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,916.86 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 53c | 11,767$6,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,531.72 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 33c | 10,716$3,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,570.48 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 0c | 10,534$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Under | 50c | 10,291$5,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,145.37 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Under | 50c | 9,700$4,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,850 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Under | 50c | 9,700$4,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,850 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Under | 52c | 9,049$4,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,375.74 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…a222backed Over | 51c | 8,250$4,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,207.55 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 47c | 8,220$3,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,876.04 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Over | 47c | 7,198$3,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,382.99 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf09a…a371backed Over | 47c | 7,025$3,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,301.56 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 75c | 6,574$4,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643.79 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 33c | 6,261$2,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,053.55 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…a237backed Over | 51c | 5,824$2,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,970.04 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.98 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Over | 47c | 4,940$2,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,323.74 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Under | 69c | 4,775$3,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.44 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…e11cbacked Over | 41c | 4,682$1,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930.74 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Under | 50c | 4,607$2,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,303.27 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 51c | 4,569$2,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,330.36 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…91e7backed Over | 50c | 4,141$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070.31 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37d3…709abacked Under | 52c | 4,124$2,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,987.95 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 49c | 4,051$1,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,985.16 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 51c | 3,882$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980.02 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Under | 50c | 3,880$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,940 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5d…191dbacked Under | 50c | 3,689$1,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.52 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Under | 50c | 3,570$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,784.8 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -8.3wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 53c | 2,915$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.24 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Over | 47c | 2,589$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.03 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Under | 53c | 2,215$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.06 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e01…0875backed Under | 50c | 2,118$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.24 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 51c | 1,970$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.78 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Under | 52c | 1,942$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.35 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…248bbacked Under | 50c | 1,936$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.06 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Over | 51c | 1,903$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.6 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 49c | 1,859$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.53 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…381bbacked Under | 51c | 1,816$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.64 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 76c | 1,766$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.83 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Over | 11c | 1,763$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.93 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51a3…9c26backed Under | 71c | 1,568$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.05 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +4.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Under | 74c | 1,308$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.64 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa686…5b61backed Over | 51c | 1,142$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.36 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 25c | 1,096$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.57 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 49c | 1,081$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.1 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 48c | 1,024$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.13 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…728abacked Under | 49c | 1,021$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.71 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Over | 24c | 999.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Over | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Over | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac03…5350backed Under | 51c | 972.5$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.53 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Under | 50c | 970$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 50c | 905.98$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.99 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Over | 38c | 895.33$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.1 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | -18.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 52c | 849.72$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.99 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…92d6backed Under | 70c | 796.47$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.49 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeedb…f631backed Under | 67c | 706.4$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.52 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9000…93d9backed Under | 50c | 698.4$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Over | 51c | 679.42$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.5 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 51c | 667.16$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.25 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb27…b180backed Under | 51c | 666.1$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.39 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…9872backed Under | 52c | 654.6$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.7 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Under | 50c | 582$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 29c | 580.99$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.83 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Under | 68c | 577.95$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.13 | 110 | 40%44 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 47c | 575.75$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.48 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 29c | 565.29$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.72 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 25c | 546.24$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.23 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 16c | 528.16$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.79 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 49c | 484.7$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.5 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a0…bc3cbacked Over | 20c | 478.51$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.19 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0e…a1fabacked Over | 48c | 433.34$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.33 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -11.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Over | 51c | 386.42$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.88 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Under | 53c | 366.72$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.36 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 20c | 356.84$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.06 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 18c | 350.06$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.52 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 75c | 339.82$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.07 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 51c | 326.1$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.79 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…9433backed Over | 47c | 309$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.23 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -13.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 18c | 307.59$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.45 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 48c | 285.42$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Over | 30c | 272.96$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.89 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3105…2e7ebacked Under | 51c | 267.68$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.16 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…5503backed Under | 51c | 235.41$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.05 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Under | 50c | 233.77$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.89 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 49c | 225.97$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.73 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 52c | 224$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.52 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 229.5this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-0.5)Nuggets won
- Aaron Gordon: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 14.5Yes won
- Nuggets vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5Under won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)Timberwolves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.