NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fed17914cbe9606f76596a1c21e4a68ee0bfa123d9c608e15ef7c26b1ed1d39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,996
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,794
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,996 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 30c | 10,743$3,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,211.63 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 23c | 7,072$1,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660.84 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Under | 58c | 6,377$3,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,656.42 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6947…296dbacked Under | 66c | 5,928$3,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,013.93 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 0c | 5,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Under | 60c | 4,878$2,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950.14 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Over | 19c | 4,288$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.73 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Under | 64c | 4,263$2,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.51 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 22c | 4,026$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.93 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 41c | 1,869$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.07 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51a3…9c26backed Under | 62c | 1,529$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.8 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +4.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 34c | 1,419$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.95 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 40c | 1,233$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.55 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 61c | 1,115$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.17 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 41c | 1,111$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.74 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 39c | 1,079$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.71 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc68a…07f0backed Under | 59c | 994.68$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.5 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 5c | 956.56$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.03 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 8c | 944.83$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.02 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 40c | 873$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.2 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -13.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 18c | 840.14$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.54 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 2c | 800$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 6c | 597.34$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.42 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Over | 42c | 499.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…9d46backed Under | 61c | 483.69$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.79 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 41c | 425.27$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.36 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 40c | 398.36$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.36 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…08ffbacked Over | 5c | 392.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 26c | 360.16$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.73 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 57c | 337$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.91 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Over | 43c | 325.47$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.95 | 249 | 49%122 W · 127 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 41c | 289.38$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.65 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d2…6ea7backed Over | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…a03dbacked Under | 62c | 189.54$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.28 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Over | 41c | 183.24$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.32 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 6c | 178.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe7cd…7db3backed Under | 58c | 168.38$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c94…f9f4backed Under | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -9.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -23%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5cee…dfadbacked Under | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52f…88fabacked Under | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9e…167ebacked Under | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +50%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…997cbacked Under | 60c | 162.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…2ee3backed Under | 60c | 162.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Under | 68c | 144.09$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.95 | 296 | 65.5%194 W · 102 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 41c | 132.22$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.21 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 41c | 129.91$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Over | 18c | 128.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 41c | 117.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 443 | 47.2%209 W · 234 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Over | 26c | 100.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 112 | 61.6%69 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Over | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 228 | 50.9%116 W · 112 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f3…685cbacked Under | 58c | 97.33$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…7972backed Under | 61c | 96.06$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.46 | 161 | 46.6%75 W · 86 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda8a…2dbabacked Under | 58c | 89.77$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 43c | 86.97$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 43c | 86.97$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 40c | 84.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x322e…308ebacked Under | 61c | 83.49$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…58f5backed Over | 21c | 82.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2e…3ef0backed Under | 61c | 80.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 263 | 45.6%120 W · 143 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…c5d2backed Under | 58c | 79.93$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.57 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 39c | 77.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.28 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Over | 40c | 74.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45cf…0f46backed Over | 17c | 66.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 130 | 42.3%55 W · 75 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 35c | 62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 520 | 53.3%277 W · 243 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 40c | 57.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…8568backed Over | 40c | 56.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Over | 40c | 48.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 41c | 42.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10a1…578abacked Under | 58c | 42.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9681…9199backed Under | 58c | 42.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…98d9backed Under | 61c | 35.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Under | 60c | 34.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e5…1dd0backed Under | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 416 | 54.8%228 W · 188 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Under | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 219 | 52.5%115 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7349backed Under | 76c | 33.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08fb…8b8bbacked Under | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Over | 40c | 32.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…ba3bbacked Under | 61c | 31.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 39c | 30.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 211 | 49.3%104 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…64c5backed Under | 58c | 30.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 61c | 29.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Under | 61c | 27.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked Under | 60c | 26.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4c…71e6backed Over | 40c | 26.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6efb…01afbacked Under | 59c | 24.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Under | 58c | 24.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9b…9c7cbacked Under | 61c | 24.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…e166backed Under | 60c | 24.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 187 | 57.2%107 W · 80 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e7…132cbacked Under | 61c | 23.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…746bbacked Under | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7d…8ee2backed Under | 78c | 19.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 59c | 19.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x086c…4932backed Under | 58c | 19.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc252…0aebbacked Under | 59c | 18.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-0.5)Nuggets won
- Aaron Gordon: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 14.5Yes won
- Nuggets vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 229.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5Under won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)Timberwolves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.