TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$77,996
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,794

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,996 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6814…a9e7backed Over30c10,743$3,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,211.633,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over23c7,072$1,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,660.842,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Under58c6,377$3,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,656.4211654.3%63 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6947…296dbacked Under66c5,928$3,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,013.931741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-31.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over0c5,500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1031222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Under60c4,878$2,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,950.144264.3%27 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Over19c4,288$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.7310239.2%40 W · 62 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Under64c4,263$2,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,522.5117553.7%94 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over22c4,026$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.931,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84066352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Over39c2,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78057950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over41c1,869$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.076,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51a3…9c26backed Under62c1,529$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.82470.8%17 W · 7 L+4.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+37.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over34c1,419$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.958,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over40c1,233$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.551,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under61c1,115$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.1795452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over41c1,111$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.7432045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over39c1,079$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.714,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc68a…07f0backed Under59c994.68$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.52842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over5c956.56$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.031,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over8c944.83$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.0289048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over40c873$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.211242%47 W · 65 L-13.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Over18c840.14$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.5416139.8%64 W · 97 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Over2c800$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over6c597.34$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.422,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Over42c499.99$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21011437.7%43 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x78a2…9d46backed Under61c483.69$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.796662.1%41 W · 25 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Over41c425.27$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.3621147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over40c398.36$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.365,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeca6…08ffbacked Over5c392.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.615846.6%27 W · 31 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over26c360.16$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.733,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under57c337$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.911,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Over43c325.47$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9524949%122 W · 127 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over41c289.38$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.6532450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d2…6ea7backed Over4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102035%7 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec54…a03dbacked Under62c189.54$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.2810957.8%63 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3322…7dc2backed Over41c183.24$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.325343.4%23 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over6c178.82$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6665630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe7cd…7db3backed Under58c168.38$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.918354.2%45 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c94…f9f4backed Under58c168.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.598043.8%35 W · 45 L-9.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-23%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5cee…dfadbacked Under58c168.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5913655.9%76 W · 60 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd52f…88fabacked Under58c168.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.595850%29 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc9e…167ebacked Under58c168.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.59580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+50%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2afc…997cbacked Under60c162.67$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.075850%29 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5c…2ee3backed Under60c162.67$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.077444.6%33 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed Under68c144.09$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9529665.5%194 W · 102 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over41c132.22$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2123445.7%107 W · 127 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over41c129.91$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8217043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e4a…f43dbacked Over18c128.27$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.345637.5%21 W · 35 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over41c117.63$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2344347.2%209 W · 234 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32e0…a295backed Over26c100.59$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1511261.6%69 W · 43 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a2d…4f43backed Over42c99.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4222850.9%116 W · 112 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86f3…685cbacked Under58c97.33$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9412558.4%73 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc789…7972backed Under61c96.06$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4616146.6%75 W · 86 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda8a…2dbabacked Under58c89.77$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.75058%29 W · 21 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over43c86.97$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.449247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over43c86.97$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.440750.6%206 W · 201 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over40c84.19$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6752150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x322e…308ebacked Under61c83.49$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.563240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb3d…58f5backed Over21c82.11$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4314153.9%76 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a2e…3ef0backed Under61c80.04$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2226345.6%120 W · 143 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa2e…c5d2backed Under58c79.93$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.571833.3%6 W · 12 L-4.0wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-37.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over39c77.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2868838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3092…c9a8backed Over40c74.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.695141.2%21 W · 30 L-5.3wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-22.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x45cf…0f46backed Over17c66.3$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2713042.3%55 W · 75 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Over35c62$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.752053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Over40c57.84$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1471752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa3b…8568backed Over40c56.73$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.493158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Over40c48.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2814150.4%71 W · 70 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over41c42.73$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3564948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x10a1…578abacked Under58c42.02$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.652441.7%10 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-31.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9681…9199backed Under58c42.02$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.655754.4%31 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3066…98d9backed Under61c35.05$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.675251.9%27 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Under60c34.17$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5211253.6%60 W · 52 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e5…1dd0backed Under58c33.61$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1241654.8%228 W · 188 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Under58c33.61$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1221952.5%115 W · 104 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c9b…7349backed Under76c33.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0321574.4%160 W · 55 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08fb…8b8bbacked Under59c33.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.566746.3%31 W · 36 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd454…b47fbacked Over40c32.78$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1127251.1%139 W · 133 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12c0…ba3bbacked Under61c31.09$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.13771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+46.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Over39c30.35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8421149.3%104 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ccc…64c5backed Under58c30.25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.712759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Under61c29.65$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5655846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x66c0…5fc2backed Under61c27.22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6114349.7%71 W · 72 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x033c…b4afbacked Under60c26.8$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.753050%15 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f4c…71e6backed Over40c26.51$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6efb…01afbacked Under59c24.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.376147.5%29 W · 32 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-16.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Under58c24.89$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.458852.3%46 W · 42 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e9b…9c7cbacked Under61c24.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.52683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick55cpaid+47.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe9ac…e166backed Under60c24.4$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7618757.2%107 W · 80 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e7…132cbacked Under61c23.97$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.353100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf245…746bbacked Under59c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.220655.3%114 W · 92 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a7d…8ee2backed Under78c19.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.42642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under59c19.98$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1996956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x086c…4932backed Under58c19.74$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.295056%28 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc252…0aebbacked Under59c18.19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.461560%9 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.