NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60d490b9b79c1bca654b2a84851a06bd37e7b4c16f3830c4e50309651d136153
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,132
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,851
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,132 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Under | 49c | 78,757$38,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,166.06 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 51c | 76,001$38,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,760.49 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Over | 46c | 3,864$1,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780.68 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 4c | 2,998$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.37 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 48c | 2,403$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.52 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 50c | 2,271$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.01 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.99 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 52c | 1,905$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.49 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Over | 52c | 1,896$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.77 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 51c | 1,400$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 64c | 1,252$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.37 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 17c | 1,081$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.44 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 1,049$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.99 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 51c | 1,009$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.68 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae31…7fa1backed Over | 17c | 936.92$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.79 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Over | 21c | 654.71$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.49 | 263 | 39.5%104 W · 159 L | -13.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 50c | 611.66$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.83 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Over | 52c | 485.6$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.51 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 40c | 482.68$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.79 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60c7…3310backed Under | 78c | 466.14$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 51c | 459.99$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.59 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 74c | 382.12$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…6df9backed Under | 79c | 350.5$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.09 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…9de7backed Under | 79c | 312.47$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.62 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aab…773bbacked Over | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Under | 80c | 285.19$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.04 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 48c | 281.75$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.51 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 51c | 265$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.15 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Over | 18c | 264.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 228 | 44.7%102 W · 126 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 22c | 249.76$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.23 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 9c | 246.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 9c | 246.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Over | 21c | 205.06$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.06 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Over | 21c | 204.85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…adf1backed Over | 21c | 179.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 48c | 144.25$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.01 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Over | 52c | 127$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.04 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 79c | 124.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8402…83bcbacked Under | 79c | 124.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 73c | 119.46$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.77 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Over | 21c | 119.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 80c | 117.05$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 52c | 111.69$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 348 | 50.9%177 W · 171 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f4…3e21backed Over | 10c | 111.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7d…8ee2backed Over | 24c | 108.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Under | 50c | 106.7$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.35 | 427 | 40.3%172 W · 255 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 47c | 102.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 77c | 100.27$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Under | 66c | 99.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 158 | 63.9%101 W · 57 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…4698backed Under | 49c | 69.24$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.31 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9501…a052backed Over | 52c | 69.08$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.92 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 52c | 59.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40e1…65a4backed Under | 50c | 59.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Under | 49c | 55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 216 | 37.5%81 W · 135 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 279 | 45.9%128 W · 151 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed Under | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 49c | 48.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 329 | 57.4%189 W · 140 L | +18.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…e5acbacked Over | 51c | 47.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 200 | 55.5%111 W · 89 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Over | 34c | 44.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Under | 50c | 43.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac6c…d0d4backed Over | 41c | 42.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Under | 50c | 41.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 331 | 59.2%196 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked Over | 52c | 40.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…3965backed Over | 52c | 38.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd141…38a1backed Over | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…db97backed Over | 38c | 29.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | -9.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Over | 52c | 29.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25e6…74a9backed Over | 52c | 26.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Under | 67c | 25.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 168 | 67.3%113 W · 55 L | +13.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 52c | 24.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 48c | 22.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 50c | 21.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Over | 52c | 19.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 482 | 55%265 W · 217 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-0.5)Nuggets won
- Aaron Gordon: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 14.5Yes won
- Nuggets vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 229.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5Under won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)Timberwolves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.