TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xac6c…d0d4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
107
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT7153.5%38 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 71 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.14
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.91
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.87
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$30.27
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+102.6%+$38.97
James Harden: Points O/U 18.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Jalen Williams: Points O/U 13.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
James Harden: Points O/U 18.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$11.53
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 13.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.65
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$14.73
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$23.86
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.72
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.86
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$13.58
Austin Reaves: Points O/U 21.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+86%+$13.76
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
James Harden: Points O/U 18.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+90.7%+$25.03
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 206.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+87.7%+$15.79
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
Paul George: Points O/U 15.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
James Harden: Points O/U 18.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 24.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$12.51
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
São Paulo FC vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+59.4%+$17.81
Independiente Santa Fe vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.86
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.44
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$25.38
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15.43
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.49
EC Vitória vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.11
São Paulo FC vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$9.46
CA Paranaense vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$35.13
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14.39
Will Fluminense FC vs. CA Paranaense end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$15.67
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$24.95
France vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$15.86
France vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$9.27
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.26
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$26.99
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$28.27
England vs. Uruguay: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$33.44
Will Germany win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$36.54
Will Paraguay win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$34.48
Will France win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+67.2%+$86.02
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$20.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Barcelona vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastian Kordabacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.