South American Leagues · resolved market
EC Vitória vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x702de54c5333be0057d1924d4314baf8d30d19430faa0f7e6b54dbbd2b752bf5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,041
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,225
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,041 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb52b…b156backed Under | 40c | 7,183$2,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,873.33 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Over | 66c | 5,578$3,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,896.6 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 61c | 5,428$3,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,105.16 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 48c | 5,309$2,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,535.63 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 56c | 1,746$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.07 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 52c | 1,610$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.2 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 34c | 1,380$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.32 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 41c | 1,245$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.21 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…c230backed Under | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Over | 71c | 972.91$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.14 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 34c | 898.98$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.65 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 60c | 541.68$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…68f3backed Under | 6c | 418.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 53c | 390.41$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.7 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Over | 53c | 256.7$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.65 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 31c | 244.94$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.57 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Over | 60c | 219.55$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.72 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 60c | 213.8$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.52 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed Under | 35c | 213.08$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.58 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 30c | 210.87$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 60c | 195.55$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.22 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 32c | 169.39$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.39 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 60c | 167.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.83 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed Under | 12c | 160$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0425backed Over | 51c | 159.86$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.33 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked Under | 12c | 154.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 52c | 141.18$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.94 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 60c | 133.91$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.56 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 60c | 133.91$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.56 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 34c | 131.31$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.41 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 46c | 126.21$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 60c | 125.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.09 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 36c | 113.95$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.58 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 65c | 99.3$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 67c | 98.02$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 38c | 79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 159 | 56.6%90 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Under | 34c | 70.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 66c | 59.37$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.18 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…7078backed Over | 67c | 56.92$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 71c | 51$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 35c | 49.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Over | 62c | 45.86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 34c | 42.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked Over | 56c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Over | 64c | 36.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7356…04cfbacked Over | 45c | 36.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac6c…d0d4backed Over | 66c | 35.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Over | 43c | 33.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Under | 56c | 31.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c65…6b11backed Under | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c02…44e5backed Over | 56c | 26.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 57c | 26.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Under | 57c | 25.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 69c | 24.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2720backed Over | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked Over | 60c | 18.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 66c | 15.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- EC Vitória vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 1.5this page
- EC Vitória vs. São Paulo FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- EC Vitória vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- EC Vitória vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: EC Vitória (-1.5)EC Vitória won
- Spread: São Paulo FC (-1.5)EC Vitória won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.