Fifa International · resolved market
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ceb5b631318be5000758200590efe2b308a581d6787c3e7bc050bfd8f627627
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,529,222
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,332,514
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,529,222 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 6,069 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99ae…386fbacked Yes | 66c | 13,193,752$8,674,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,674,408.03 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb012…2ac3backed Yes | 62c | 2,425,509$1,512,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512,509.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 39c | 1,786,815$693,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093,687.68 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked No | 38c | 1,691,104$634,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056,539.85 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4761…5ae8backed No | 35c | 1,071,133$376,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694,228.05 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 41c | 1,000,914$412,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588,243.77 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed No | 35c | 873,720$305,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568,071.49 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 34c | 856,005$292,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563,495.64 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc67a…f0b6backed Yes | 62c | 800,000$496,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496,000 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -5.6wins | -0.27per pick | 51cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…e2cebacked No | 38c | 799,990$303,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495,993.95 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked No | 35c | 700,000$242,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457,999.79 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 41c | 656,213$271,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384,288.29 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a55…f9bebacked Yes | 65c | 607,945$395,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395,164.54 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed No | 34c | 595,146$202,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392,796.68 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Yes | 65c | 524,999$341,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341,249.49 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 36c | 428,346$152,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276,214.22 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 34c | 419,000$142,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276,539.85 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed No | 34c | 375,343$127,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247,726.26 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3496…8fc4backed Yes | 59c | 350,000$206,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205,999.99 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 38c | 300,000$114,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186,000.03 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89dd…f662backed No | 38c | 300,000$114,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186,000 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +7.8wins | +0.29per pick | 45cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8428…9210backed No | 34c | 296,300$100,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195,557.7 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 36c | 274,999$99,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175,499.54 | 163 | 31.9%52 W · 111 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34cb…e9fdbacked Yes | 64c | 273,615$176,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176,343.87 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed No | 34c | 267,915$91,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176,823.89 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 58c | 261,096$151,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109,228.13 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eaf…a3a1backed No | 34c | 248,999$84,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164,339.53 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked No | 36c | 236,007$84,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151,820.11 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed No | 34c | 229,915$78,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151,743.89 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…f804backed Yes | 56c | 225,000$126,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125,999.91 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 34c | 222,222$75,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146,666.5 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 56c | 204,238$114,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114,270.02 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 34c | 204,000$69,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134,640 | 221 | 39.8%88 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Yes | 59c | 202,336$120,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120,000 | 196 | 44.9%88 W · 108 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 35c | 188,531$66,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122,160.05 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed No | 35c | 187,118$65,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121,942.07 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c7…c83bbacked No | 35c | 186,000$64,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121,830 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 34c | 182,536$62,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120,349.85 | 425 | 41.6%177 W · 248 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…6bf2backed Yes | 66c | 181,818$120,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120,000 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 35c | 181,800$64,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117,527.77 | 250 | 38.8%97 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Yes | 66c | 175,000$115,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115,499.78 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 38c | 160,280$60,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99,720.78 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c8…fd11backed Yes | 62c | 159,677$99,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,000 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 37c | 159,167$58,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,848.2 | 168 | 35.1%59 W · 109 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…f1f9backed No | 34c | 154,110$52,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101,712.9 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked No | 35c | 153,000$53,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99,450 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x381b…4d74backed No | 34c | 153,000$52,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,979.89 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked No | 34c | 150,000$51,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99,000 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 69c | 149,104$103,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,757.52 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed No | 35c | 139,600$48,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91,059.99 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 35c | 137,234$48,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88,624.81 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed No | 34c | 133,299$45,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87,751.67 | 360 | 31.7%114 W · 246 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 35c | 125,640$44,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81,589.99 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6501…1220backed Yes | 35c | 113,686$39,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,790.15 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +9.3wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed No | 35c | 105,383$36,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,745.17 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 61c | 102,812$62,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,850.24 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86d2…731dbacked No | 40c | 96,901$38,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,140.73 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 34c | 93,395$31,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,640.69 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd471…edf8backed No | 35c | 86,673$29,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,726.91 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 68c | 82,277$56,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,009.78 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 34c | 80,650$27,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,228.97 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…7433backed No | 34c | 80,000$27,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,800 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 35c | 78,165$27,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,807.25 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 62c | 77,692$48,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,289.63 | 387 | 34.4%133 W · 254 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…3e2abacked No | 34c | 76,520$26,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,503.1 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 36c | 76,278$27,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,120.02 | 187 | 38%71 W · 116 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked No | 62c | 70,000$43,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,599.98 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 34c | 67,535$23,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,519.68 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed No | 38c | 66,890$25,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,471.8 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa407…ca38backed Yes | 38c | 65,786$25,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,016.01 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 35c | 63,859$22,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,500.04 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed No | 34c | 62,171$21,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,032.85 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 39c | 61,120$23,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,527.19 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed No | 38c | 60,100$22,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,451 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 35c | 60,000$21,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,799.99 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…a70ebacked No | 34c | 60,000$20,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,599.96 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3799…2728backed Yes | 66c | 57,519$38,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,093.68 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 35c | 54,608$19,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,385.98 | 218 | 36.2%79 W · 139 L | -19.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed No | 35c | 54,490$18,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,563.14 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9243…658ebacked Yes | 60c | 54,325$32,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,638.26 | 152 | 49.3%75 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…0841backed No | 35c | 54,143$19,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,963.27 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked No | 34c | 53,550$18,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,342.98 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06f2…1269backed Yes | 33c | 52,545$17,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,232.5 | 383 | 33.9%130 W · 253 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes | 17c | 52,300$9,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,001.27 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ac…b964backed No | 34c | 50,000$17,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,000 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Yes | 67c | 50,000$33,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,400 | 239 | 42.3%101 W · 138 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 69c | 48,979$33,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,403.93 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 61c | 48,005$29,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,371.93 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x087d…b872backed No | 34c | 47,545$16,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,379.48 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked No | 34c | 46,036$15,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,383.76 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked No | 34c | 45,920$15,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,307.53 | 510 | 32.5%166 W · 344 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed No | 34c | 45,000$15,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,700 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 34c | 44,000$14,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,239.97 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28d0…a750backed No | 36c | 43,489$15,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,742.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 34c | 41,173$13,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,174.17 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 34c | 40,098$13,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,464.68 | 258 | 44.6%115 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…e80abacked Yes | 62c | 40,000$24,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,800 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Yes | 64c | 40,000$25,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,600 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked No | 39c | 39,999$15,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,599.41 | 228 | 46.9%107 W · 121 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 34c | 39,780$13,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,254.8 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?this page
- Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.