South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd482356c34fbd57ead253e1eef0f5683afd368bf4509ac832c84a7388630889d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $406,906
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $406,906 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed No | 47c | 298,908$140,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140,464.42 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 53c | 139,312$74,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,269.46 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 53c | 29,610$15,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,011.94 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Yes | 52c | 29,365$15,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,095.2 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 66c | 20,191$13,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,855.5 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Yes | 54c | 11,000$5,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,060 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 53c | 9,900$5,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,652.96 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Yes | 52c | 9,131$4,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,382.75 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7125…23eebacked Yes | 54c | 8,363$4,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,866.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 69c | 7,075$4,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,203.29 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked No | 47c | 6,746$3,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,170.62 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Yes | 52c | 5,769$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769.23 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 54c | 5,683$3,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,608.72 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Yes | 52c | 5,577$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,676.92 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Yes | 52c | 4,133$2,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,983.69 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Yes | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.58 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 50c | 3,745$1,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872.56 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…c413backed Yes | 54c | 3,100$1,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,427.77 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Yes | 50c | 3,008$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.68 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 42c | 2,670$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.93 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 54c | 2,564$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.44 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…87d0backed Yes | 32c | 2,500$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.99 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1b…62c9backed Yes | 52c | 2,269$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.23 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 38c | 1,914$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.18 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 46c | 1,380$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.39 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 47c | 1,072$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.77 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 53c | 1,053$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.83 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 10c | 954.49$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.22 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed No | 8c | 943.42$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.99 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 10c | 714.35$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.46 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 54c | 700$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Yes | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 52c | 573$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.04 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 25c | 536.66$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.18 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 54c | 520.45$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.29 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked No | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…3f2ebacked Yes | 52c | 461.54$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.54 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 55c | 454$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.3 | 99 | 25.3%25 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 37c | 440.34$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.69 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 53c | 436.56$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.34 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 66c | 427.23$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.37 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 53c | 425.62$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.75 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked No | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 34c | 323.53$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…b945backed No | 49c | 317.8$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.49 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 65c | 303.46$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.21 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Yes | 53c | 291.01$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.39 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -8.7wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf62e…7cc4backed Yes | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 45c | 273.6$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.58 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 56c | 267.82$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.77 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Yes | 58c | 258.19$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.19 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 56c | 232.21$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.23 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…d370backed Yes | 52c | 229.6$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.09 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b1…536dbacked Yes | 57c | 211.14$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.14 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 47c | 209.95$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.15 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 55c | 208.58$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.04 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +19.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x154e…7a37backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 47c | 199.33$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.24 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 54c | 181.82$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.64 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e07…0163backed Yes | 51c | 175.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.99 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed Yes | 54c | 159.76$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.83 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Yes | 54c | 157.41$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 9c | 155.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +18.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…7cf6backed Yes | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked Yes | 49c | 117.85$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.21 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 57c | 117$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.15 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 68c | 114.96$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed No | 24c | 112.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Yes | 52c | 104$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed6d…d729backed Yes | 57c | 102.96$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.27 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Yes | 53c | 102.36$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.36 | 112 | 62.5%70 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Yes | 78c | 100.95$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed No | 48c | 99.86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.82 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Yes | 50c | 93.37$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.69 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 42c | 92.2$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.28 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 44c | 89.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes | 57c | 88.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 42c | 87.75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.95 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Yes | 64c | 86.38$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 40c | 80.18$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.47 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 44c | 79.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 27c | 78.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed No | 49c | 75.71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +4.8wins | +0.30per pick | 51cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ca…e89fbacked Yes | 80c | 73.8$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 59c | 73$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.09 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3784…72fbbacked Yes | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Yes | 54c | 71$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.71 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 64c | 66.81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.51 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Yes | 54c | 65.78$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Yes | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 53c | 62.26$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 201 | 42.3%85 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 213 | 59.6%127 W · 86 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Yes | 69c | 58.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +7.1wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 37c | 58.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…e96dbacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd3…5314backed Yes | 35c | 53.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.69 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.38per pick | 50cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-03-15?this page
- Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-03-15?No won
- Will Fluminense FC vs. CA Paranaense end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.