TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xed6d…d729

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
74
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst Premier League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT3850%19 W · 19 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-12.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastian Kordabacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Miami Open: Rafael Jodar vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$55.56
Miami Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Jasmine Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Miami Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Marin Cilicbacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$33.14
Miami Open: Adam Walton vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+60.7%+$18.82
Miami Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Miami Open: Corentin Moutet vs Tomas Machacbacked Tomas Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.3
Miami Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.96
Murcia: Jesper de Jong vs Roberto Carballes Baenabacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Set 1 Winner: Jong vs Baenabacked Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$5.23
Miami Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.8
Miami Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.73
Set 1 Winner: Arnaldi vs Shevchenkobacked Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Miami Open: Valentin Royer vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+67.8%+$33.89
Miami Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Rei Sakamotobacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
Miami Open: Terence Atmane vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Miami Open: Raphael Collignon vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$87.59
Miami Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$45.34
Miami Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+106.9%+$146.31
Miami Open: Zizou Bergs vs Jenson Brooksbybacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+67.2%+$30.49
Miami Open: Rafael Jodar vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.2
Set 1 Winner: Basilashvili vs Navonebacked Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+107.8%+$26.94
Zadar: Lukas Neumayer vs Nerman Faticbacked Nerman Fatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Mikhail Kukushkin vs. Roberto Carballes Baena: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Murcia: Mikhail Kukushkin vs Roberto Carballes Baenabacked Roberto Carballes Baena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.5
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.05
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.16
Will SC Internacional win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$17.44
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.83
Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)backed CR Flamengo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+48.3%+$144.95
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$34.36
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$41.99
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.97
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.06
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$52.88
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$44.27
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.32
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.85
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick59cpaid+41.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-59.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick67cpaid-57.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)backed Galatasaray SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.5
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.43
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$27.75
All 3 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$51.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$15.43
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.