South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-03-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x028697b859607c8cd759e5e2877475d76ccc1e7da2173322ab3ddbd4fbcc1d7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $143,126
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,126 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 43c | 24,967$10,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,670.86 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 58c | 17,885$10,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,582.62 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 16,358$11,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,046.97 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 42c | 13,597$5,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,710.27 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 58c | 11,159$6,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,662.72 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 25c | 10,586$2,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,678.47 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 27c | 10,435$2,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,869.36 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…37ccbacked Yes | 42c | 10,184$4,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,316.12 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 9,014$6,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,398.51 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed No | 57c | 3,500$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 77c | 3,438$2,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.94 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 32c | 3,216$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.1 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7d…fbafbacked Yes | 43c | 2,439$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 69c | 2,362$1,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.76 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 61c | 2,177$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.18 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 77c | 2,054$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.36 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 37c | 1,634$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.68 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfec0…aeb9backed No | 59c | 1,469$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.29 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Yes | 2c | 1,436$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 31c | 1,249$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.5 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 64c | 1,171$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.99 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973b…a912backed No | 59c | 978.24$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.35 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed No | 59c | 892$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.72 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 35c | 887.9$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.68 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…53ebbacked No | 60c | 715$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked No | 59c | 700$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Yes | 24c | 679$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.91 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 18c | 650$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 58c | 624.43$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.82 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 41c | 609.76$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e83…4bd3backed No | 60c | 530$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed No | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 29c | 396.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 63c | 386.46$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.74 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…3f2ebacked Yes | 41c | 385.37$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 20c | 306.07$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.71 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 58c | 265$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.3 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3001…4ac2backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +12.3wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 59c | 252.05$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.17 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 57c | 250$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 57c | 250$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 127 | 61.4%78 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 20c | 249.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4240…279ebacked Yes | 42c | 239.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…f579backed Yes | 34c | 235.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…fdb5backed Yes | 43c | 234.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 162 | 62.3%101 W · 61 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Yes | 8c | 212.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2628…757bbacked Yes | 33c | 211.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.95 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 58c | 211.22$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.81 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c04…a5c1backed Yes | 38c | 210$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2807…27d5backed Yes | 39c | 193.66$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 60 | 20%12 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 58c | 190.69$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.41 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 41c | 182.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b83…66a2backed Yes | 41c | 181.19$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 57c | 175$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.25 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 57c | 175$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.25 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 37c | 173.49$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.87 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…e8acbacked Yes | 21c | 166.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.18 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed6d…d729backed Yes | 40c | 163.25$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 59c | 162$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.42 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked Yes | 31c | 161.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked No | 58c | 149.99$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 57c | 140$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba4…6638backed Yes | 18c | 138$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 71c | 132.97$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.35 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 60c | 127.5$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.95 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 57c | 125$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked No | 57c | 125$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed No | 57c | 125$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 57c | 125$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 179 | 60.3%108 W · 71 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed No | 57c | 125$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a68…22dfbacked Yes | 40c | 124.02$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.46 | 64 | 15.6%10 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Yes | 41c | 121.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 112 | 62.5%70 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked No | 57c | 120$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 57c | 120$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 57c | 120$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 135 | 57%77 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 23c | 119.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed No | 57c | 115$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.45 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed No | 59c | 112.71$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.12 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da5…c3d5backed Yes | 31c | 110.92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b67…525dbacked Yes | 19c | 107.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked No | 58c | 103.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.96 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Yes | 37c | 103.18$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Yes | 22c | 102.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 61c | 99.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde66…be48backed No | 66c | 99.86$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.38 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 37c | 98.06$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.28 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-03-16?this page
- Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-03-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.