TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6b7d…fbaf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
33
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,219Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,081
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,165Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$2,079.88
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,844Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,844.17
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$381Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$381.27
Dota 2: Heroic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$583Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$583.26
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Dota 2: Heroic vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$999Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$999
Dota 2: Heroic vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.33
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$370
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,300
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,073Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+194%+$2,081.76
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,095Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+103.2%+$1,130.3
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$581Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+144%+$835.92
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.18
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+242.6%+$630.24
All 15 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-57.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-56.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+265.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$425Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+394.2%+$1,674.19
Hornets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+136%+$1,360.27
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Paper Rex vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$986Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$714.1
Valorant: Paper Rex vs All Gamers - Map 1 Winnerbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$466Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+96.2%+$448.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$469Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$468.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Fonseca (+1.5)backed Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$839.94
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.