TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-03-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$27,981

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,981 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No66c6,354$4,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,153.188,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7d…fbafbacked Yes34c2,950$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-56.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No38c1,798$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.6751749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes4c1,621$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.415,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e69…7904backed Yes62c1,613$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x370d…66aabacked Yes63c983.67$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Yes65c950.7$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.3512354.5%67 W · 56 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes59c848.15$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.8140242%169 W · 233 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No37c772.27$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.231,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No35c751.7$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.421849.5%108 W · 110 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Yes27c744.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003727%10 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes31c629.4$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.3118828.7%54 W · 134 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No36c618.63$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.0533745.4%153 W · 184 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes34c580$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.246530.3%141 W · 324 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No47c532.11$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.912,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfab4…564fbacked Yes33c377.07$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.772231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-19.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No39c343.94$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.7484943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes64c312.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010242.2%43 W · 59 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ce8…63febacked Yes37c270.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes24c270.37$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6625625%64 W · 192 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No38c251.98$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.5613545.2%61 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Yes64c234.38$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010750.5%54 W · 53 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Yes43c233.26$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013833.3%46 W · 92 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes62c219.68$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1364141.5%17 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0866…a1d5backed Yes51c219.64$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.031553.3%8 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes11c217.66$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.193,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1807…3e37backed Yes64c213.4$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Yes64c203.87$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Yes12c197.01$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.719144.5%85 W · 106 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes25c192.1$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4830231.1%94 W · 208 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a1f…eb43backed Yes36c191.67$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd983…d92dbacked Yes11c188.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-46.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Yes9c164.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.051338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick24cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5668…eababacked Yes61c163.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa558…dc8cbacked Yes61c163.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002045%9 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No75c162.87$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.31,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaea3…7078backed Yes61c162.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004271.4%30 W · 12 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+21.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x07b9…3efebacked Yes62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10076951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5092…1fc1backed Yes65c154.13$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd629…1e72backed Yes64c150.66$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.725234.6%18 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No37c150$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.7117560.6%106 W · 69 L+11.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No38c149.93$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.6331226.6%83 W · 229 L+1.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a2f…c5d0backed No70c143.23$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.234676.1%35 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick72cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes32c140.63$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4518433.2%61 W · 123 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce72…cbefbacked Yes37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501729.4%5 W · 12 L-4.4wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-55.2%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x2097…8b03backed No75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.333083.3%25 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick76cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Yes42c120$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.413041.5%54 W · 76 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Yes28c108.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016041.3%66 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0687…77bfbacked Yes32c107.91$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353923.1%9 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes34c87.87$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4685220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd4e3…0332backed Yes63c80.77$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.891346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb456…1774backed Yes26c80$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.85846.6%27 W · 31 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9023…1143backed Yes63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xafcf…72f6backed Yes64c73.5$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.045759.6%34 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-9.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x02f2…66e2backed Yes69c72.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8007…4245backed Yes64c64.03$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.982433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5004…c07bbacked No38c63.16$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.166855.9%38 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x019d…cd81backed Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes21c60$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5194848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe361…bf48backed Yes43c56.51$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.28433.3%28 W · 56 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x452f…b277backed Yes63c56.43$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.511637.1%43 W · 73 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9df6…c33bbacked Yes27c54.89$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No37c52.52$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1155155%303 W · 248 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.510058%58 W · 42 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No38c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3117950.8%91 W · 88 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5285…99a1backed Yes63c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed No36c42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2721359.6%127 W · 86 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Yes64c39.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513351.1%68 W · 65 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x95ad…4eebbacked Yes65c36.74$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8810767.3%72 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x866a…de80backed Yes35c35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1513814.5%20 W · 118 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d65…2d2bbacked No52c34.76$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.59580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+39%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes61c32.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013739.4%54 W · 83 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc426…69d5backed Yes63c31.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5649…e5bebacked No65c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.54858.3%28 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42f1…11ffbacked Yes36c29.01$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No36c28$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9215459.1%91 W · 63 L-0.6wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No36c28$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.922,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a54…e581backed Yes64c23.44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82a9…4b44backed Yes62c23.13$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ff…de93backed Yes64c23.05$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9da…ed70backed Yes63c21.27$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.421266.5%141 W · 71 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Yes60c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1217066.5%113 W · 57 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No67c17.97$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8735758%207 W · 150 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5a2…f00dbacked Yes64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1023254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.