South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Botafogo FR vs. Barcelona SC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91a8b990c33e42b60aaf4a78c9acc8d4dc49653f0f20b0417e0f5d17d436922c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,006
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,006 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 2,355$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.35 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Yes | 31c | 1,632$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 67c | 1,430$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.49 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 70c | 1,430$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.59 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 30c | 1,249$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.67 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7d…fbafbacked Yes | 37c | 960.87$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 804.89$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.81 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 31c | 573.17$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.19 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 513.32$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.12 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 63c | 310.7$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.96 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Yes | 38c | 303.79$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.44 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de3…e096backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 37c | 267.7$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.75 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce72…cbefbacked Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.4wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 69c | 140.9$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.27 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbebe…72e1backed Yes | 33c | 139.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 33c | 123.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 68c | 116.96$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…fdb5backed Yes | 39c | 115.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 162 | 62.3%101 W · 61 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed No | 66c | 98.39$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 112 | 62.5%70 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed No | 69c | 83.06$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 24c | 64.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 26c | 59.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 26c | 55.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 25c | 54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfab4…564fbacked Yes | 37c | 51.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3af4…1214backed Yes | 37c | 51.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 34c | 46.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df6…c33bbacked Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 31c | 36.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked No | 75c | 31.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…421bbacked No | 67c | 30.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 65cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked No | 69c | 20.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d65…2d2bbacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc73b…c3e9backed No | 69c | 19.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Botafogo FR vs. Barcelona SC end in a draw?this page
- Will Barcelona SC win on 2026-03-10?Yes won
- Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-03-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.