South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Barcelona SC win on 2026-03-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x478aef6c1e3013670110c96e4e2030eb85f3956adc9415d9c6eb514652e2e41d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,475 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60e8…50c2backed Yes | 53c | 1,671$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.34 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…ef76backed Yes | 15c | 1,248$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +560.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 46c | 1,245$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.26 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 11c | 1,177$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.96 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 69c | 641.77$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.01 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbebe…72e1backed Yes | 12c | 499.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 59c | 410.58$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.57 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 31c | 362.04$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.5 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa580…a6febacked Yes | 33c | 303.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.33 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7293…0516backed Yes | 18c | 274$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 50c | 244.4$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.2 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…5d96backed No | 54c | 205.58$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…53ebbacked No | 64c | 158.68$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.53 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked No | 64c | 142.51$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.71 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 15c | 135.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.34 | 138 | 14.5%20 W · 118 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 30c | 133.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.8 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked No | 38c | 120.91$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.95 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 15c | 120.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.8 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 11c | 117.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 15c | 117.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 95 | 22.1%21 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc068…113dbacked Yes | 14c | 109.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.22 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 27c | 108.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.28 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32aa…0c01backed Yes | 15c | 101$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 45c | 95.84$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.44 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedb…4b48backed Yes | 35c | 84.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa205…34e8backed Yes | 31c | 78.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed No | 64c | 77.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf00…e784backed Yes | 16c | 71.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +541.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed No | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 79 | 73.4%58 W · 21 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 19c | 57.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x42bc…e110backed Yes | 44c | 56.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed No | 62c | 56.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Yes | 34c | 50.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.56 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 38c | 42.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 30c | 41.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5649…e5bebacked No | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc73b…c3e9backed No | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…421bbacked No | 66c | 37.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 65cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x974e…8703backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Yes | 48c | 29.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…22efbacked No | 67c | 19.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 65c | 19.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 44 | 75%33 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Barcelona SC win on 2026-03-10?this page
- Will Botafogo FR vs. Barcelona SC end in a draw?No won
- Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-03-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.