TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Oilers vs. Avalanche

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Oilersof Oilers, Avalanche
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$571,105

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $571,105 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 543 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Oilers39c100,000$39,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,000.4810840.7%44 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Avalanche61c93,428$56,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56,991.2240351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Avalanche61c60,000$36,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,899.6422443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Oilers39c50,000$19,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,500.5148545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Oilers38c42,588$16,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,404.5667051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Oilers38c27,255$10,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,875.411,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Avalanche62c25,740$15,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,872.562540%10 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-29.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Avalanche62c21,111$13,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,011.871,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Oilers74c20,809$15,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,512.7941850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Avalanche61c16,198$9,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,88140356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Avalanche61c16,152$9,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,852.7118641.9%78 W · 108 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked Oilers74c13,650$10,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,592.53764.9%24 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Oilers39c12,500$4,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,634.0232946.8%154 W · 175 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Oilers55c12,023$6,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,392.5927448.9%134 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Oilers39c10,320$4,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,293.6661950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Oilers38c10,154$3,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,254.531,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Oilers39c10,000$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,099.9861748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Oilers38c8,535$3,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,252.291,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Avalanche32c8,471$2,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,673.031,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed Oilers39c8,469$3,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,205.8111553%61 W · 54 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Avalanche62c8,088$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00032151.7%166 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Avalanche61c7,342$4,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,447.41,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Avalanche61c7,243$4,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,418.211,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Oilers38c6,818$2,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,206.0833243.7%145 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Avalanche25c6,779$1,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,727.896527.7%18 W · 47 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-39.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf62b…844abacked Avalanche62c6,479$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00014654.1%79 W · 67 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Avalanche61c5,000$3,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0501,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Oilers39c5,000$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,050.1689547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Oilers39c5,000$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,049.9813948.2%67 W · 72 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Avalanche62c4,973$3,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,078.8375251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Avalanche34c4,931$1,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,658.352,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Avalanche30c4,317$1,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,278.3118344.8%82 W · 101 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Avalanche31c4,232$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,315.6416447%77 W · 87 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Avalanche62c4,197$2,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,604.5843456%243 W · 191 L+16.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b90…f361backed Oilers76c4,138$3,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.82365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Avalanche61c4,098$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50050049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Avalanche35c3,757$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,298.132,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Oilers69c3,553$2,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,095.651,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Avalanche61c3,472$2,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,117.9261953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Avalanche26c3,186$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.4899638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Avalanche34c3,108$1,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,042.4121158.8%124 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x085f…c87cbacked Avalanche61c3,089$1,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,88410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x05f0…2469backed Oilers38c3,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,859.991758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Avalanche61c2,947$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8003542.9%15 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce4d…a7fabacked Avalanche45c2,854$1,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,278.2825555.3%141 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83ab…3d56backed Oilers39c2,849$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,738.144949%24 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd714…9a62backed Oilers39c2,564$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.196845.6%31 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Avalanche61c2,500$1,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,524.991,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x607d…53a1backed Avalanche62c2,419$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50013446.3%62 W · 72 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Oilers55c2,343$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,052.93,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Avalanche60c2,176$1,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,305.647951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Avalanche60c2,107$1,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,255.812859.4%76 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08fe…aedfbacked Oilers51c2,035$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.394748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Avalanche62c2,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2404450%22 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed Avalanche17c2,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3404637%17 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe732…898fbacked Oilers50c1,985$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.0511950.4%60 W · 59 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x62f2…07f8backed Avalanche61c1,801$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,098.612560%15 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+25.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb58e…d570backed Avalanche62c1,620$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…5c69backed Oilers71c1,517$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.9517754.8%97 W · 80 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Avalanche61c1,500$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.662245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71b3…a5d6backed Oilers42c1,413$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.132751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Oilers39c1,400$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.7991653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeeb3…5ceabacked Avalanche61c1,362$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.2850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c02…7fdcbacked Avalanche74c1,354$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.691376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Avalanche50c1,280$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.9833234.3%114 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfe7…820fbacked Avalanche73c1,244$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.36862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Oilers31c1,228$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.8311537.4%43 W · 72 L+0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Avalanche61c1,218$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.9948050.6%243 W · 237 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Avalanche61c1,200$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.9923047.4%109 W · 121 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7d…fbafbacked Avalanche41c1,156$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Oilers39c1,141$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.0184953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Avalanche14c1,101$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.517317.8%13 W · 60 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Avalanche61c1,099$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.133652.1%175 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x126b…298fbacked Oilers40c1,084$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.151560%9 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked Avalanche61c1,040$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6344047.5%19 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Oilers53c1,040$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.5351452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67be…8a3bbacked Oilers34c1,033$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.8118746.5%87 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Avalanche17c1,017$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.7560337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x597e…cd70backed Avalanche64c1,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6403661.1%22 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Oilers39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.4924845.2%112 W · 136 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01fc…5c93backed Oilers42c995.7$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab4e…c4a0backed Avalanche62c979.51$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.034259.5%25 W · 17 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Oilers70c959.39$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.623250%16 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Avalanche62c935$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.6886852.4%455 W · 413 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Avalanche27c904$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.081,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9534…1fe8backed Avalanche61c899.31$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.5822852.6%120 W · 108 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Avalanche61c800$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.9225552.5%134 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Avalanche36c717.08$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.671,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Oilers74c699.06$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.1529448.6%143 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ebc…8b41backed Avalanche46c686.72$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.462544%11 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Avalanche62c677.7$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42031753.9%171 W · 146 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x231a…a82fbacked Avalanche62c663.44$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.675949.2%29 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7cb…bc54backed Oilers39c641.03$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.0329946.8%140 W · 159 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f1…7bd5backed Avalanche40c628.21$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.82450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbac2…727bbacked Avalanche32c623.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003938.5%15 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Avalanche62c600$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.8849249.6%244 W · 248 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Avalanche58c589.23$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34324847.6%118 W · 130 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Avalanche27c555.56$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15043743%188 W · 249 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd0b…4857backed Oilers51c550$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.0521846.8%102 W · 116 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Avalanche54c520.05$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.0836948%177 W · 192 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.