TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x126b…298f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
73
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Lol, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 56 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT3063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs Misa Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Champions Roundbacked Berlin International Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$349.07
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+80.3%+$129.59
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$119.09
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$136.72
LoL: Sentinels vs Cloud9 - Game 4 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+60.3%+$136.23
LoL: Sentinels vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+56%+$191.73
LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs G2 NORD - Game 2 Winnerbacked Berlin International Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$16.9
LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs G2 NORD - Game 1 Winnerbacked Berlin International Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+99.2%+$65.48
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+82.1%+$311.32
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+94%+$312.09
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+117.4%+$68.63
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels - Game 3 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50.94
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$44.98
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$28.66
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition - Game 4 Winnerbacked Eintracht Spandau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+58.7%+$6.54
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$69
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Berlin International Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Berlin International Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+55%+$64.3
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+51.3%+$49.63
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$29.4
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$170.3
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+73.8%+$198.77
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$234.9
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$9.81
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+66%+$25.01
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-35%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dubai Tennis Championships: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$50.8
Pune: Manoj Dhamne Manas vs Duje Ajdukovicbacked Duje Ajdukovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+50.7%+$10.31
Antalya: Veronika Erjavec vs Nuria Brancacciobacked Veronika Erjavec · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+63.2%+$227.23
Antalya: Moyuka Uchijima vs Despina Papamichailbacked Despina Papamichail · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$11.77
Pune: Felix Gill vs Maks Kasnikowskibacked Maks Kasnikowski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$43.98
Mexican Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$386.49
Mexican Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Mattia Belluccibacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$88
Merida Open Akron: Shuai Zhang vs Emma Navarrobacked Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$58.15
Chile Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$37.1
ATX Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Iva Jovicbacked Tomljanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+27.9%+$9.45
Mexican Open: Yibing Wu vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+50.9%+$31.47
Chile Open: Cristian Garin vs Sebastian Baezbacked Garin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$56.62
ATX Open: Kimberly Birrell vs Caroline Dolehidebacked Birrell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+69.5%+$12.77
Merida Open Akron: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Magdalena Frechbacked Frech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+46.5%+$89.68
Tigre 2: Guido Justo vs Alvaro Guillen Mezabacked Justo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$47.81
St. Brieuc: Mark Lajal vs Pierre-Hugues Herbertbacked Herbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+36.3%+$24.14
Chile Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Emilio Navabacked Nava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+89.8%+$55.73
Tigre 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Varillasbacked Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$56.74
Dubai Tennis Championships: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Jiri Leheckabacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$38.6
All 19 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Avalanchebacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+151%+$652.15
Predators vs. Krakenbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$149.96
Ducks vs. Jetsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$385.45
Islanders vs. Bluesbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$78.86
Senators vs. Canucksbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$197.31
Flames vs. Capitalsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.54
Lightning vs. Sabresbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.72
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.69
Canucks vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$125.81
Senators vs. Flamesbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+66.7%+$36.38
Islanders vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+104.3%+$542.53
Golden Knights vs. Sabresbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$89.41
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$28.51
Blue Jackets vs. Rangersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$168.31
Jets vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$108.33
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$652Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+116.7%+$761.1
Burnley FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+92.3%+$189.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+44.9%+$33.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: T1 vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+42.9%+$163.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,395Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$516.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Grizzliesbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,898Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+35.5%+$673.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First Round Pool C: Japan vs. South Koreabacked South Korea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$23.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$730Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$729.93
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.