TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FURIA Esportsof FURIA Esports, Sentinels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$674,140

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $674,140 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 267 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked FURIA Esports49c106,588$52,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,906.2155955.8%312 W · 247 L+50.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Sentinels50c49,308$24,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,653.862065%13 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Sentinels58c41,318$23,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,926.951,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Sentinels52c18,666$9,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,682.7226144.1%115 W · 146 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cad…eb66backed FURIA Esports64c14,162$9,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,135.9848157.6%277 W · 204 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafda…0fccbacked FURIA Esports64c13,970$9,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,963.5916654.8%91 W · 75 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7ea…bbb3backed Sentinels56c12,377$6,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,894.596328.6%18 W · 45 L-11.1wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-48.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed Sentinels51c11,390$5,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,783.0931036.1%112 W · 198 L-18.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked FURIA Esports26c10,665$2,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,871.7631328.8%90 W · 223 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked Sentinels31c9,622$2,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,997.1766437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Sentinels62c8,768$5,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,453.8169756.5%394 W · 303 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed FURIA Esports70c8,608$6,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,597.1825446.1%117 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed FURIA Esports51c8,374$4,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,087.551,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked FURIA Esports36c8,172$2,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,220.641,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Sentinels48c7,928$3,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,769.442,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e91…ea34backed Sentinels37c7,133$2,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,667.4450569.9%353 W · 152 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e38…de0fbacked Sentinels50c6,758$3,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,379.026149.2%30 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed FURIA Esports50c6,413$3,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,191.021,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Sentinels47c6,000$2,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,837.31,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed FURIA Esports44c5,621$2,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,124.241,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed Sentinels33c4,513$1,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,489.1328361.5%174 W · 109 L+18.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked FURIA Esports40c4,237$1,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,556.331,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked Sentinels47c4,000$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,879.994151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Sentinels49c3,998$1,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,953.561,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Sentinels57c3,719$2,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,126.739749.1%195 W · 202 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Sentinels52c3,309$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,709.6563546.6%296 W · 339 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed Sentinels50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50013444%59 W · 75 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed FURIA Esports67c2,998$2,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.61,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Sentinels50c2,534$1,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26737245.2%168 W · 204 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Sentinels55c2,500$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,37526246.6%122 W · 140 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed FURIA Esports50c2,480$1,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230.81,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Sentinels34c2,381$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80075630%227 W · 529 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x141f…7711backed FURIA Esports36c2,374$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,513.2114248.6%69 W · 73 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Sentinels63c2,350$1,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,475.646556.9%37 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed FURIA Esports44c2,312$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,294.7631153.4%166 W · 145 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f2f…552cbacked FURIA Esports54c2,300$1,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.8416349.7%81 W · 82 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Sentinels56c2,200$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,231.92,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Sentinels50c2,014$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.092,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed FURIA Esports44c2,000$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.1424240.9%99 W · 143 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed Sentinels54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0801,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed FURIA Esports44c2,000$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,125.1644047.5%209 W · 231 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224b…8927backed FURIA Esports55c2,000$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.9542050.5%212 W · 208 L+27.9wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked FURIA Esports45c1,930$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.5290348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked FURIA Esports39c1,910$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,158.061,00748.2%485 W · 522 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed Sentinels66c1,883$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,237.9728827.4%79 W · 209 L-30.6wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked FURIA Esports53c1,871$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870.381,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked FURIA Esports61c1,724$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.631,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Sentinels42c1,718$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.031,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Sentinels47c1,602$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.1353640.3%216 W · 320 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed FURIA Esports51c1,600$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.9971249.2%350 W · 362 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x098b…1fa5backed FURIA Esports50c1,583$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.543850%19 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed FURIA Esports45c1,475$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.4245739.6%181 W · 276 L-37.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed FURIA Esports48c1,475$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.751,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x910d…cfc0backed FURIA Esports44c1,406$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.7918451.6%95 W · 89 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked Sentinels65c1,379$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90083560.8%508 W · 327 L+45.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed FURIA Esports46c1,371$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.2813946%64 W · 75 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked FURIA Esports48c1,360$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.082,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed FURIA Esports42c1,241$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.42,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68ba…e3f3backed FURIA Esports44c1,201$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.566451.6%33 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed FURIA Esports28c1,200$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87042148.2%203 W · 218 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cc5…1135backed Sentinels50c1,170$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.0544042%185 W · 255 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed FURIA Esports35c1,150$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.943959%23 W · 16 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Sentinels49c1,135$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.713,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed Sentinels63c1,108$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.6848353.4%258 W · 225 L-19.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed FURIA Esports29c1,000$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71022035.9%79 W · 141 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d05…6f11backed FURIA Esports51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.3910044%44 W · 56 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Sentinels57c969.73$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.662,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa57d…0670backed FURIA Esports48c887.9$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.1211631%36 W · 80 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked Sentinels57c881.1$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.6319150.8%97 W · 94 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed Sentinels55c824.58$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4511,24152.7%654 W · 587 L+5.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked Sentinels49c800$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3921,01955.8%569 W · 450 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf06…c9ffbacked FURIA Esports56c800$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.9763352%329 W · 304 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e19…d2b0backed Sentinels50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40012639.7%50 W · 76 L-9.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x59aa…3376backed Sentinels58c798.71$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.041,13143.1%487 W · 644 L+0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked FURIA Esports46c791$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.833251.5%171 W · 161 L+33.0wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed FURIA Esports67c718.73$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.691,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Sentinels50c710.96$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.2918633.3%62 W · 124 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked FURIA Esports42c700$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40886649.7%430 W · 436 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed FURIA Esports40c672.66$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.031,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed Sentinels50c650$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32839447.2%186 W · 208 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Sentinels43c612.71$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.161,54354.8%845 W · 698 L+75.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x39bb…9e51backed Sentinels59c600$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35118149.2%89 W · 92 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Sentinels56c562$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.3943947.6%209 W · 230 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x829b…4892backed FURIA Esports41c505.65$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.595853.4%31 W · 27 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+25.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x31b5…6128backed Sentinels66c504.32$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.7223657.2%135 W · 101 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed FURIA Esports43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2851,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f06…9af4backed FURIA Esports42c500$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.485162.7%32 W · 19 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x661e…81d6backed FURIA Esports68c465.69$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.929856.4%168 W · 130 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x09cf…d623backed Sentinels56c459.99$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.63652.8%19 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Sentinels48c455.77$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.222,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc935…2579backed FURIA Esports73c450$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.261566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Sentinels51c441.12$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.971,15649.1%568 W · 588 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2a0…d7a5backed Sentinels60c424.95$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.539252.2%48 W · 44 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Sentinels60c417$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.911141.4%46 W · 65 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8430…3961backed FURIA Esports76c415.9$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.1337754.1%204 W · 173 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed Sentinels59c410$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.452538.9%204 W · 321 L+18.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Sentinels50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20057947.3%274 W · 305 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Sentinels57c397$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.545344.6%202 W · 251 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c0f…fe01backed Sentinels53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20036260.5%219 W · 143 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5085…9bbcbacked FURIA Esports73c377.17$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.172347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.