TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf2a0…d7a5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
224
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Dota2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 53 out of 100; worst World Politics at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT9252.2%48 W · 44 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 92 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.96
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.72
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.82
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.8
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$333.99
Game Handicap: TES (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.53
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$56.49
LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$54.72
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+150.1%+$600.4
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$946Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$945.97
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$745Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$745.49
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$46
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$18.5
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$42.37
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+40.5%+$148.86
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+145.5%+$326
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+185.4%+$22.98
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$255.53
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 4 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+60.6%+$119.85
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+59.4%+$185.92
Showing 25 of 92 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST5563.6%35 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$300.15
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$757Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+48.3%+$365.38
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,364Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+64.6%+$880.58
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$184.27
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+38.9%+$112
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$364Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+50.1%+$182.34
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$831Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+44.4%+$369.36
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+37.3%+$33.54
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$538Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+37%+$198.95
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$373.3
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$482Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+27.5%+$132.34
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Liquid - Map 1 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$150.8
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$608Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+36.2%+$220.38
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$310.78
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Vitality (BO1)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$14.74
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Team Falcons (BO1)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$607Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$607.11
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs G2 (BO1)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+25.5%+$55.08
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$292.87
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO1)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$408.05
Counter-Strike: NIP vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+71.7%+$62.63
Counter-Strike: NIP vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+31%+$68.01
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis (BO3)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+27.4%+$25.45
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TYLOO (BO3)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+44.4%+$15.38
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+27.6%+$95.48
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs M80 (BO3)backed Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+200%+$100
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Kukuys vs Execration - Game 2 Winnerbacked Execration · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+108.3%+$26
Dota 2: Aurora vs AVULUS - Game 1 Winnerbacked AVULUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+53.8%+$17.5
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$54.28
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO1)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,107Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$1,106.73
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO1)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$155.87
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Team Tidebound (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+38.9%+$112
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs MOUZ (BO1)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$944Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$943.84
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Heroic (BO1)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$668Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$667.62
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$934Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+49.3%+$460.11
Dota 2: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+134.1%+$1,541.48
Dota 2: OG vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$453Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$453.41
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+152.6%+$94.63
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$405
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Dota 2: OG vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+51.5%+$117.41
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO3)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$681Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+48.9%+$332.9
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$180.76
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+96.7%+$127
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+33.8%+$36.48
All 19 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$90
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+60%+$18.75
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$31.88
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.86
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Netherlands O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
Will Netherlands win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$62.5
Will Poland win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$102.06
All 12 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1225%3 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-62%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$75.1
Will GL/PvdA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$146.62
Will JA21 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+71.3%+$123.89
Will turnout be between 75% and 78% in the Netherlands Parliamentary Election 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$95.35
Will turnout be between 72% and 75% in the Netherlands Parliamentary Election 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$83.5
Will turnout be between 78% and 81% in the Netherlands Parliamentary Election 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+53.8%+$17.5
Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$59.58
Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,362Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+30.2%+$411.92
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$33.84
Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$43.2
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$16.9
All 12 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-75.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$16.4
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$231
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+165.9%+$436.54
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$12.43
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$12.2
Will Trump not sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill by November 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$30.93
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$17.18
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$16.24
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$43.3
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$13.3
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
All 11 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+68.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-59.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2024, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-53.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2024, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2024, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will another player win FIDE Candidates 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2024, EDT+100%+$13.56
Will Ian Nepomniachtchi win FIDE Candidates 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$10.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2024, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
$GME halted 10 times today?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$22.5
$GME halted 9 times today?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2024, EDT+30.7%+$11.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'If' gross less than $30m opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2024, EDT+55.2%+$12.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$47.41
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.