Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e956c939e0bee2fc22ccea7f3122635ef6a829747a9c16207fcdd594c694dc9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,126,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,113,915
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,126,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 708 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked Yes | 35c | 46,681$16,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,571.5 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…999ebacked No | 48c | 27,458$13,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,299.87 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9aa…bb40backed Yes | 61c | 21,861$13,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,452.92 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…3377backed No | 13c | 19,200$2,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,516.86 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe036…616cbacked Yes | 13c | 18,377$2,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,956.56 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +5.3wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +92%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…ae74backed Yes | 11c | 18,214$2,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,131.03 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +271%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6e…b45bbacked Yes | 38c | 15,194$5,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,458.78 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Yes | 49c | 14,266$7,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,247.54 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 10c | 14,218$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,789.45 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe065…95e5backed No | 0c | 13,900$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a33…28e8backed Yes | 44c | 13,180$5,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,378.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf85…acc4backed No | 69c | 12,231$8,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,420.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2d…84e6backed No | 49c | 12,200$5,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,990 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9a…7991backed Yes | 68c | 12,147$8,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,866.08 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94b3…a66cbacked No | 5c | 10,463$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Yes | 49c | 9,453$4,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,790.55 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57c5…07aabacked No | 49c | 9,370$4,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,634.46 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c26…cf53backed No | 71c | 8,967$6,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,407.39 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 39c | 8,786$3,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,424.05 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 23c | 8,569$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,563.62 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x231c…7e0bbacked No | 73c | 8,266$6,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,071.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked Yes | 41c | 8,000$3,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,727.45 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb009…b498backed Yes | 49c | 7,392$3,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,744.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 49c | 7,283$3,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,730.17 | 318 | 40.3%128 W · 190 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes | 44c | 7,107$3,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,963.02 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 37c | 7,002$2,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,430.54 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked Yes | 19c | 6,547$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,314.28 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c9…1b1abacked No | 77c | 6,526$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce29…b71bbacked No | 61c | 6,375$3,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,868.41 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8b…30e4backed Yes | 28c | 6,000$1,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,309.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b51…5868backed No | 62c | 5,817$3,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,612.16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed No | 54c | 5,747$3,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,101.5 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…ef53backed No | 60c | 5,720$3,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,426.42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2968…ce4cbacked Yes | 35c | 5,647$1,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,680.9 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 13cpaid | +145.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Yes | 41c | 5,578$2,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,271.46 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…9728backed No | 72c | 5,000$3,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,603.11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ff…55bdbacked Yes | 44c | 4,828$2,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,698.4 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…74c8backed Yes | 40c | 4,548$1,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,724.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…e2bdbacked Yes | 11c | 4,535$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,045.43 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 29cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 64c | 4,486$2,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,891.45 | 133 | 41.4%55 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11de…21d7backed Yes | 71c | 4,265$3,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +107.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 32c | 4,119$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,811.47 | 236 | 39.4%93 W · 143 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 43c | 4,073$1,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320.82 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 41c | 4,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350.4 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c49…7af9backed Yes | 65c | 4,000$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 58cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Yes | 39c | 3,688$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,245.44 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b22…c59cbacked No | 45c | 3,630$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.94 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a13…4593backed No | 35c | 3,503$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.25 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd80…c73cbacked No | 79c | 3,500$2,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,780 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 32c | 3,489$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,388.66 | 210 | 22.4%47 W · 163 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd7d…4d56backed No | 50c | 3,417$1,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,712.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…6c63backed Yes | 51c | 3,375$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.83 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd748…2125backed No | 50c | 3,359$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.6 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Yes | 50c | 3,302$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4a…16a2backed Yes | 72c | 3,287$2,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 7c | 3,154$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.03 | 111 | 21.6%24 W · 87 L | +11.4wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +179.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6f…e887backed No | 65c | 3,079$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.32 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 33c | 3,061$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.14 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x96ac…2c21backed Yes | 72c | 3,033$2,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.66 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +115.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed Yes | 32c | 3,008$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,057.59 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 28c | 2,974$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,152.37 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…8591backed No | 68c | 2,925$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb3…2868backed Yes | 51c | 2,800$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b44…264ebacked Yes | 43c | 2,794$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.5 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +7.5wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…adc2backed No | 67c | 2,767$1,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…dd84backed Yes | 38c | 2,567$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.25 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x813f…4da3backed Yes | 50c | 2,555$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7968…d714backed Yes | 43c | 2,552$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.91 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1850…58b7backed Yes | 44c | 2,541$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc178…35b3backed No | 5c | 2,500$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +10.2wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +133.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…642abacked Yes | 68c | 2,400$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e20…d6ddbacked Yes | 55c | 2,386$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc3…37b9backed No | 70c | 2,352$1,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,636.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x434a…5218backed Yes | 15c | 2,284$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,938.43 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c60…b0ccbacked No | 62c | 2,107$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +81%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…b232backed No | 66c | 2,009$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe639…082abacked No | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe27…52b7backed No | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…61bcbacked Yes | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6115…97ddbacked Yes | 53c | 2,000$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed Yes | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.99 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +157.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b7…0c87backed Yes | 48c | 1,956$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06fd…c0bebacked No | 50c | 1,872$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 24cpaid | +480.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed No | 53c | 1,850$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.5 | 151 | 55%83 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f5…3092backed Yes | 53c | 1,850$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aca…c734backed No | 28c | 1,800$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 48cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 42c | 1,762$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.46 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cd…f8c1backed No | 59c | 1,749$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe352…f259backed No | 50c | 1,675$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.49 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 31c | 1,664$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.01 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…93f4backed Yes | 67c | 1,662$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.02 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204b…a4eebacked Yes | 40c | 1,639$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +152.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 11c | 1,634$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.62 | 111 | 20.7%23 W · 88 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +212.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked No | 50c | 1,632$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.81 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde03…e629backed Yes | 35c | 1,603$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974a…ee7bbacked Yes | 47c | 1,600$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f42…78fcbacked Yes | 64c | 1,567$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.04 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Yes | 16c | 1,555$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.34 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…b3f6backed No | 80c | 1,508$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.47 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?this page
- Will Trump not sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill by November 29?No won
- Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 18?No won
- Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 20?No won
- Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 21?No won
- Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 22?No won
- Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 23?No won
- Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 24?No won
- Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 25?No won
- Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 26?No won
- Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 27?No won
- Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 28?No won
- Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.