Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ca7f7c40e5dbce4b00c5bd586f18445a3f8ef3efd7150a7e725e60df64d51ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $151,604
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $144,473
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,604 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb009…b498backed Yes | 37c | 6,179$2,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,306.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec8…5709backed Yes | 79c | 6,156$4,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,876.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9aa…bb40backed Yes | 29c | 5,891$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,727.51 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Yes | 58c | 5,289$3,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,057.47 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd53b…fc94backed Yes | 1c | 4,900$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 33cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 64c | 4,731$3,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,688.73 | 318 | 40.3%128 W · 190 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked Yes | 51c | 4,657$2,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,366.32 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Yes | 6c | 3,808$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.86 | 111 | 20.7%23 W · 88 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +212.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6aca…c734backed No | 67c | 3,691$2,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.04 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 48cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…5226backed Yes | 42c | 3,654$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.6 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed No | 38c | 3,000$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,854.58 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…3308backed Yes | 25c | 2,579$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 42c | 2,394$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.41 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0af1…abc0backed Yes | 30c | 2,249$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.17 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b69…42cfbacked No | 64c | 2,222$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +114.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 37c | 2,192$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.47 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 2c | 1,986$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 129 | 10.9%14 W · 115 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a75dbacked Yes | 21c | 1,816$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.03 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02b4…3908backed No | 66c | 1,810$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9a…7991backed Yes | 70c | 1,782$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.1 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 35c | 1,762$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.95 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c26…cf53backed Yes | 54c | 1,706$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.8 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x357f…1106backed No | 72c | 1,525$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 35c | 1,406$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.67 | 210 | 22.4%47 W · 163 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes | 43c | 1,357$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.76 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f2…7027backed No | 64c | 1,258$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.75 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6556…8647backed No | 57c | 1,182$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.22 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f63…680ebacked Yes | 48c | 1,158$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Yes | 1c | 1,142$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 111 | 21.6%24 W · 87 L | +11.4wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +179.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 53c | 1,135$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.57 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Yes | 33c | 1,103$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac15…5351backed Yes | 46c | 1,083$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a9…69a2backed Yes | 35c | 1,082$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 28c | 1,056$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.91 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76d2…6bfcbacked Yes | 1c | 1,042$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3006…6f28backed No | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +54%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Yes | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -88.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Yes | 57c | 941.92$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +196.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3958…542ebacked No | 74c | 801$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…5120backed No | 62c | 800$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6115…97ddbacked No | 58c | 771.38$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff4…dea5backed Yes | 49c | 748.82$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…d7a5backed Yes | 33c | 700$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ac…2c21backed Yes | 19c | 699.97$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.76 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +115.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6bd…0b58backed Yes | 18c | 599.98$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 70c | 555.77$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.17 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab72…b70dbacked Yes | 19c | 526.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 19cpaid | +155.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e4…eff6backed Yes | 18c | 518.19$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.73 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…83cebacked Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.67 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a2…9452backed Yes | 39c | 500$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.2 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc3…b21fbacked Yes | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e7…40c2backed Yes | 44c | 500$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9c…0e0fbacked Yes | 31c | 483.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed No | 60c | 460.62$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.25 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 45c | 452.94$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.62 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc39d…4891backed Yes | 39c | 450$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa738…9c92backed Yes | 44c | 447$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdb…f0fdbacked No | 62c | 446.91$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9a…1c50backed Yes | 46c | 435.66$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked Yes | 53c | 423.55$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa0…8f5ebacked No | 71c | 422.53$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked Yes | 14c | 416$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.66 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +12.8wins | +0.26per pick | 17cpaid | +218.5%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6d…a7b2backed Yes | 11c | 406.92$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 43c | 400$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 50c | 387.84$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9038…b34fbacked No | 61c | 362.62$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.61 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e17…f41ebacked Yes | 63c | 355.06$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2154…715cbacked Yes | 25c | 353$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 46c | 347.05$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.82 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf22c…5c89backed Yes | 38c | 344.69$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1850…58b7backed Yes | 35c | 341.11$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6573…ab02backed Yes | 72c | 335.58$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.27 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…13bfbacked Yes | 31c | 322.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf710…edc9backed Yes | 33c | 317.18$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.5 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…f4c5backed Yes | 39c | 302.77$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -67%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…c00cbacked Yes | 5c | 300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -82.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…d868backed Yes | 32c | 300$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 62c | 290.21$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.07 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99c1…9b20backed No | 47c | 279.9$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.52 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b29…47b2backed No | 72c | 277.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe959…578bbacked No | 72c | 277.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb1…1129backed No | 72c | 277.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ff…55bdbacked No | 66c | 276.77$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.1 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…6c63backed No | 77c | 259.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.73 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…fcd3backed Yes | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…b3c4backed Yes | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…0b89backed Yes | 36c | 249.41$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 40c | 240.5$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.58 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7968…d714backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b0…e2d7backed Yes | 42c | 228.71$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe82f…9998backed Yes | 42c | 226.55$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a8fdbacked No | 61c | 225.42$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.91 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 61cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8df…dce7backed Yes | 38c | 225.38$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d86…5073backed Yes | 68c | 225$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.26 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked Yes | 66c | 224.54$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.14 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a2…4cc2backed Yes | 48c | 220.87$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.66 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c37…adf5backed Yes | 33c | 212.05$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x646b…5c3dbacked No | 60c | 212.02$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 24c | 206.88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 84 | 19%16 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 20?this page
- Will Trump not sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill by November 29?No won
- Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 18?No won
- Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?Yes won
- Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 21?No won
- Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 22?No won
- Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 23?No won
- Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 24?No won
- Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 25?No won
- Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 26?No won
- Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 27?No won
- Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 28?No won
- Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.