TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9c37…adf5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
195
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Olympics, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Olympics at 53 out of 100; worst NFL at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT3426.5%9 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+68.6%+$8.24
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+30.8%+$7.69
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+614.3%+$92.14
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+278.3%+$139.13
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+386.8%+$116.05
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+1,144.9%+$686.93
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT3053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Denver Nuggets advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$13.44
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+102.1%+$16.24
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Lakers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+87.7%+$10.53
Hawks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.27
Pelicans vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$12
76ers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Nuggets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+51.5%+$9.27
Suns vs. Rocketsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Nuggets vs. Netsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+138.1%+$20.71
Hawks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+58.7%+$8.81
Pistons vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$21.5
Bucks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Cavaliers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+63.9%+$15.98
Pistons vs. Jazzbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Suns vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$13
76ers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+92.3%+$13.85
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+69.5%+$17.37
Knicks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+108.3%+$16.25
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.21per pick47cpaid-48.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NFL — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will David Bailey be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$12.28
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+53.3%+$12.27
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the AFC North?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the NFC West?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$72
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+150%+$22.5
Saints vs. Titansbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+92.3%+$11.08
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Spread: 49ers (-5.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+108.3%+$21.67
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the AFC West?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Jaguars vs. Texansbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 19 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+128.8%+$15.45
Will "The Balusters" win Best Play at the 2026 Tony Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$5.01
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 85m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$10.22
Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.29
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+337.5%+$54
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+142%+$70.99
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+74.4%+$16.37
Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will "Five Nights at Freddy's 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 57m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 157m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$43
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 157m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$31
All 16 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1353.8%7 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Avalanche vs. Red Wingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+75.4%+$11.32
Stars vs. Bluesbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+69.5%+$10.42
Utah vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Avalanche vs. Panthersbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Penguins vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+122.2%+$18.33
Capitals vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$11.79
Canadiens vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Hurricanes vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+117.4%+$17.61
Devils vs. Islandersbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Panthers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Blue Jackets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+122.2%+$24.44
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+127.3%+$19.09
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+51.5%+$7.73
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+81.8%+$20.45
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$21.5
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+233.3%+$46.67
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-46.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-67.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-43.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$34.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$80
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will February 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grand Canyon Antelopes vs. Boise State Broncosbacked Boise State Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.