TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Celtics

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Celticsof Raptors, Celtics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,795,966
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,694,753

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,795,966 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,616 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Raptors24c206,516$50,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,524.432,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Raptors24c177,423$43,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,423.472,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Celtics76c154,330$117,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,039.318961.8%55 W · 34 L+0.4wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Raptors26c115,938$30,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,143.7537539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x906f…88b4backed Celtics76c109,490$83,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,269.1622453.1%119 W · 105 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Raptors24c87,029$20,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,536.8327424.5%67 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Celtics78c66,329$51,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,434.7829245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed Celtics74c60,843$45,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,819.236358.7%37 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Celtics77c55,000$42,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,50031445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Raptors22c52,763$11,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,588.835235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Celtics75c51,329$38,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,677.32,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaba…51debacked Raptors10c51,108$5,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,010.0910947.7%52 W · 57 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56e2…4b88backed Celtics79c49,740$39,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,445.495253.8%28 W · 24 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+27.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Celtics76c48,364$36,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,493.9436359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc82f…460dbacked Raptors23c40,338$9,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,383.521020%2 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-65.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Raptors24c38,156$9,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,055.1647028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5798…ab44backed Raptors23c30,000$6,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,799.9915740.8%64 W · 93 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Raptors24c29,733$7,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,010.7920551.2%105 W · 100 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Raptors0c28,623$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.071,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44d4…1970backed Raptors23c28,134$6,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,470.8616752.1%87 W · 80 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Raptors0c27,868$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.455213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe12a…67efbacked Celtics77c27,452$21,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,339.5415841.1%65 W · 93 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Celtics74c26,096$19,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,801.023,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Celtics77c25,000$19,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,750.0251844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed Celtics78c25,000$19,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,50011653.4%62 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8980…d4f4backed Raptors23c25,000$5,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,649.9921951.1%112 W · 107 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Celtics75c24,335$18,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,109.89,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Raptors12c23,611$2,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,774.771,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Raptors12c22,658$2,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,771.821,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Celtics76c22,394$17,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,374.6125753.7%138 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe734…8f6abacked Celtics76c22,272$16,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,344.2719150.8%97 W · 94 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Raptors24c22,222$5,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,333.274734%16 W · 31 L-6.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-30.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Raptors18c21,899$4,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,044.444,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Raptors24c20,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,80023245.3%105 W · 127 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66cc…7135backed Celtics76c20,000$15,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,80021250.5%107 W · 105 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Celtics73c20,000$14,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,399.9513248.5%64 W · 68 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Raptors22c18,973$4,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,17419560%117 W · 78 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Raptors0c18,540$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.018820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Raptors15c17,590$2,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,615.731,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Raptors1c17,057$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9864517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Raptors17c16,872$2,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,833.292,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked Celtics77c15,871$12,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,650.335655.4%31 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Celtics74c15,489$11,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,991.6121538.1%82 W · 133 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Raptors22c15,400$3,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,38661835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Celtics79c15,000$11,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1501,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x153a…9d6dbacked Celtics73c15,000$10,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,005.973959%23 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick64cpaid+4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Raptors19c14,896$2,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,786.3161939.6%245 W · 374 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Raptors26c14,814$3,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,860.051,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Celtics73c14,768$10,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,987.3836741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Raptors21c14,055$2,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,951.6514434%49 W · 95 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x487f…e5d7backed Raptors23c13,578$3,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,123825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-42.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Celtics75c13,333$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,333.3311654.3%63 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x239b…964abacked Celtics77c13,026$10,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,965.2410059%59 W · 41 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Celtics77c13,000$10,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9902,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd12…ea1abacked Raptors1c12,893$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.391662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Celtics73c11,670$8,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,150.959646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x494e…c549backed Raptors27c11,364$3,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,068.1811836.4%43 W · 75 L-12.3wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-20.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x724b…e780backed Celtics74c10,680$7,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,776.792259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9aeb…5a2dbacked Raptors23c10,633$2,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,451.543432.4%11 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick35cpaid+35.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa04e…376abacked Celtics76c10,188$7,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,445.131643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Celtics79c10,000$7,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1007653.9%41 W · 35 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8a5…122bbacked Celtics79c9,752$7,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,047.93151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Celtics73c9,415$6,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,510.531,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Raptors18c9,372$1,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,712.8146940.3%189 W · 280 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x81cb…a228backed Celtics74c9,218$6,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,396.571464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+75.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9534…1fe8backed Raptors24c9,084$2,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,136.7326247.7%125 W · 137 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Raptors18c8,976$1,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,593.672,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Celtics74c8,684$6,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,262.322,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Raptors24c8,249$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Celtics78c8,000$6,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,76062351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Raptors18c8,000$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,449.9747535.8%170 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb889…a430backed Celtics76c7,916$6,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,899.749263%58 W · 34 L+9.8wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Celtics74c7,857$5,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,007.634,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Raptors16c7,689$1,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,191.989640.6%39 W · 57 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Celtics78c7,680$5,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,689.610144.6%45 W · 56 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Raptors27c7,652$2,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,066.0420349.8%101 W · 102 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Raptors27c7,407$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00048938.7%189 W · 300 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Raptors23c7,358$1,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,677.372,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Celtics76c7,214$5,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,763.8371547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc36f…f353backed Celtics74c6,962$5,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,810.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Celtics74c6,755$4,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,756.4125554.1%138 W · 117 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8b1…171abacked Celtics74c6,729$4,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,749.5683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+192.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a09…db1cbacked Celtics77c6,500$5,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4953452.9%18 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-16.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Raptors10c6,474$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.4581529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed Raptors7c6,314$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.1318142%76 W · 105 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Celtics76c6,235$4,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,496.428643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Raptors22c6,135$1,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,347.712,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Celtics74c6,000$4,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5605455.6%30 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Celtics75c5,851$4,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,435.7672450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Raptors18c5,825$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.8185344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Raptors24c5,613$1,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,332.8344648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61a1…6657backed Celtics73c5,573$4,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,480.8927758.8%163 W · 114 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Celtics76c5,537$4,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,328.8428649.7%142 W · 144 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Raptors16c5,417$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.4939744.3%176 W · 221 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe35…d34abacked Raptors15c5,361$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8008823.9%21 W · 67 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Celtics73c5,210$3,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,406.7230947.6%147 W · 162 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Raptors18c5,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90048347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc211…5967backed Celtics73c4,998$3,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8340…4ae4backed Raptors25c4,998$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Raptors8c4,998$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.1728616.4%47 W · 239 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.